Tennis · resolved market
Zverev vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffcb45104ae99f473ce0192efa7595c1c905658e2e26f1eb09fae8c8784d4c74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 64c | 5,747$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.65 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 37c | 4,000$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.8 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 34c | 2,951$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.77 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 65c | 1,466$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.77 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Under | 37c | 449.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 34c | 360$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Over | 64c | 313.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 37c | 175.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 65c | 111.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Over | 65c | 108.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 65c | 67.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 67c | 39.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 34c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 65c | 34.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…f7b2backed Over | 61c | 32.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Over | 61c | 21.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Over | 64c | 18.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Over | 64c | 18.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc572…fc7ebacked Over | 64c | 18.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zverev vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5this page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor FritzTaylor Fritz won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs FritzZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs FritzFritz won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fritz (+1.5)Fritz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.