TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c12…a143

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Homburg Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+255.1%+$272.83
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.13
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$67.96
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$86.38
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$103.29
Parma: Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.65
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra Ealabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Set 2 Winner: Altmaier vs Medvedevbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Ealabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$73.48
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$74.97
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Mariabacked Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Set 2 Winner: Medjedovic vs Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Leheckabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+280%+$439.59
Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakinabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Set 1 Winner: Eala vs Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Set 1 Winner: Paul vs Zandschulpbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$187.81
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlinsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$72.86
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.