MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e9d42b4245a6e13ea31d7e4f1bf034b6ecff95992235aa8b89a47903093ab5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof San Francisco Giants, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e05…7720backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 20,914$10,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,038.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 19,262$10,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,073.85 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 18,696$9,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,057.34 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 14,956$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,178.77 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 8,337$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.99 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 8,078$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.46 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 7,803$4,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,562.68 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 7,710$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,460.45 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 6,373$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.8 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 5,660$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.05 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 5,499$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 4,326$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.44 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 3,328$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,917$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 75c | 2,758$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 2,332$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.3 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 2,234$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.86 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 2,229$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.9 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 2,096$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked San Francisco Giants | 16c | 2,059$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.58 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 1,961$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.25 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 1,951$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.32 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,755$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.08 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,506$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.3 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,473$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.61 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,452$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,322$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.88 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,308$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.12 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,241$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.6 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,063$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.02 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Miami Marlins | 71c | 1,049$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.35 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 1,029$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.93 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 948.45$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.14 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Miami Marlins | 77c | 909.09$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 901.93$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 878.16$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 847.42$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.13 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 799.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked San Francisco Giants | 7c | 725.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 702.13$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.13 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 697$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.37 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 692.3$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.3 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 635.42$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.56 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 628.71$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.64 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 617.65$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.47 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 593.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.61 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…9f29backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 591.94$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 578.35$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.35 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 560$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 556.05$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 535.69$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.64 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 527.4$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.15 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked San Francisco Giants | 66c | 519$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.54 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 506.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.26 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 506.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.26 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 503.94$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.13 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed San Francisco Giants | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 465.24$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 450$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 444.82$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 442.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.94 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 405.89$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 356.8$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 348.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.64 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 348$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fd…842dbacked Miami Marlins | 74c | 325.12$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 320.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 320$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 308.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed San Francisco Giants | 18c | 299.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 287$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed San Francisco Giants | 27c | 286.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked San Francisco Giants | 19c | 286.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 281.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 276.69$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 276.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 258.8$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 251.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked San Francisco Giants | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 240.3$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 239.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 235$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 219.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…7c8fbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 218.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 214.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 208.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 206.04$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.