Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Maria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4c88d17144c469e341328dae9e3f3e5230e1ecbf827fd5f81f3b6280b6bc030
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bouzkovaof Bouzkova, Maria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maria | 53c | 3,000$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.42 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bouzkova | 46c | 1,533$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.15 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bouzkova | 47c | 1,284$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.24 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Maria | 50c | 499.86$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.29 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bouzkova | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Maria | 60c | 195$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bouzkova | 63c | 151.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bouzkova | 56c | 131$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…72f8backed Maria | 14c | 119.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Bouzkova | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Bouzkova | 56c | 106.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maria | 44c | 101.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Bouzkova | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…a143backed Maria | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Maria | 59c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Bouzkova | 48c | 41.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Bouzkova | 60c | 40.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Bouzkova | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Maria | 59c | 33.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Bouzkova | 49c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Bouzkova | 58c | 30.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bouzkova | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Mariathis page
- Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tatjana MariaMarie Bouzkova won
- Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5)Bouzkova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.