TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No21c7,263$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.34128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-87.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No37c6,868$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.638821.6%19 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06aa…fbf3backed Yes61c3,015$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+237.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc61e…244cbacked No15c2,692$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No5c1,548$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.321,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d5…0789backed No3c1,487$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-57.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No20c1,457$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.53030%9 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No1c1,382$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…f0a8backed Yes76c1,225$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No9c1,195$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.774926.5%13 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No10c1,184$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.196835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked No7c1,171$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.521315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No6c1,157$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.388448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked No2c1,078$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.18234.3%1 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc46…a4f8backed Yes64c1,026$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+293.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a17…2560backed Yes56c818.29$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.962157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda5…ee3abacked Yes48c791$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes70c714.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.281435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No13c609.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6246330.2%140 W · 323 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No2c608.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7823551.9%122 W · 113 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No3c594.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2217330.1%52 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ed…1ae4backed Yes67c581.18$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No4c575.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0254934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No14c537$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4628558.9%168 W · 117 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No6c518$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.495036%18 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c514.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4222355.6%124 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ec…832fbacked Yes60c495.92$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No10c454.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9119315.5%30 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No7c450.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331676.6%11 W · 156 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No6c443.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5910734.6%37 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No6c440$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6635258%204 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa23e…b010backed Yes63c403.4$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+159.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed No6c341.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.351358.1%11 W · 124 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No20c334.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3813348.1%64 W · 69 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No13c317.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4210542.9%45 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No8c312.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.486944.9%31 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b8…34e6backed Yes58c301.55$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8533…7c76backed No10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No14c299.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0931635.1%111 W · 205 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8bb…4282backed No12c281.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.09333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Yes66c278.97$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.357951.9%41 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1dc…48fabacked No6c272.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.47742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e57…2debbacked Yes65c271.54$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6c…e3f5backed No7c250.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.642445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No24c228.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.624110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed No6c225$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63050%15 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc8d…84bcbacked Yes71c225$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+226.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No11c220$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3652850.8%268 W · 260 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c84…dc88backed No6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.081346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No17c196.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0522029.5%65 W · 155 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked No9c193.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.265328.3%15 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No11c185.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0514637%54 W · 92 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdf4…6b54backed Yes75c178.44$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed No7c177$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.893537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No16c165.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.868838.6%34 W · 54 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No20c165$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8531152.4%163 W · 148 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…fa6fbacked Yes61c164.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed Yes31c160.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.125558.2%32 W · 23 L+15.2wins+0.28per pick31cpaid+73.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No23c151.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2327438.3%105 W · 169 L-32.3wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf680…7cebbacked No7c150$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No26c143.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0899017.2%170 W · 820 L-148.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes74c141$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd631…6c43backed Yes70c138.93$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No33c138.72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3539414%55 W · 339 L-71.9wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-73.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No34c132.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8311045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes71c122.47$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2415076%114 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick74cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…8370backed Yes59c104.8$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.422128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe51e…e241backed No13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-72.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x461e…fe51backed Yes72c96.56$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…6dfebacked No37c77.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…5ea2backed Yes49c69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes66c61.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.882152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Yes71c54.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4402…d22abacked Yes66c51.81$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5b…b202backed No35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Yes59c38.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.595253.8%28 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Yes76c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8811344.2%50 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x061c…ba08backed Yes64c33.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes57c31.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4816834.5%58 W · 110 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked Yes79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafab…5949backed Yes67c29.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.683100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4c…2918backed Yes70c27.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff50…a66cbacked Yes75c27.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783e…5a19backed Yes65c25.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f66…3993backed Yes56c22.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed Yes56c21.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+91.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae9…5ff8backed Yes56c21.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x738e…cc2cbacked Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes61c18.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.035337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.