TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$276,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under56c62,277$34,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,706.582774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c17,466$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.343,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under54c10,086$5,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,639.7724058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c8,599$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.4151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over20c7,656$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.852,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over46c7,631$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.332245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over46c7,157$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.1721029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over45c6,326$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.8377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over32c6,000$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.9922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under54c5,537$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.8923949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under68c5,372$3,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.1766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under54c5,185$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.079948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c5,131$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e3…b6d0backed Over45c4,454$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.56426.6%17 W · 47 L-12.2wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-56.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over44c3,602$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.052,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c3,240$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over15c3,184$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.8625339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under54c2,370$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.41,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over30c2,346$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.2344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under54c2,301$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.471,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c2,013$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.644,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over14c1,862$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over8c1,805$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.734,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over29c1,705$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.063315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda0d…72a0backed Over11c1,677$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.891711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c1,250$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.453,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over45c1,250$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.463,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c1,233$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.694,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over27c1,228$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.932,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Over33c1,189$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.7537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under56c1,181$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.4636250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over42c1,170$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3715141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over35c1,133$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b43…0714backed Over48c1,022$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.692725.9%7 W · 20 L-7.0wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over2c972.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.133,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over17c902.33$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.653629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over45c892.02$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.411,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over7c887.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over35c861.12$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5233438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under71c860.99$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.641,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Over26c817.98$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6425049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over47c808.51$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38013736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ad…b017backed Under60c800.93$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.372748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over13c795.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6141331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d4…363dbacked Under53c737.74$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.742152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Over40c667.19$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7516755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c638.76$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.742,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Under53c613.1$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.78336.1%30 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under52c599.97$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over7c597.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.931,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under53c590.32$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.463,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Under55c589.09$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.099760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over34c577.46$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3112419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over45c512$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe92…9f2abacked Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb15…ee0fbacked Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017723.7%42 W · 135 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over42c499.84$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9395739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over29c492.74$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.931,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8e…b1d0backed Over4c444.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.787741.6%32 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce59…a1a3backed Over48c419.83$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.521957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over25c400$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.072,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18445038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6310…aecabacked Over34c399.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over26c388.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.32,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over29c370.05$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.051,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba31…836dbacked Over32c363.81$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.55837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over13c363.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5665036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c358.16$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.122,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over25c353.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.571,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over21c350$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.523820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over44c336.56$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.725930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Under58c318.97$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9727637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under54c315.5$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.071,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under63c312.5$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6221143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over29c306.26$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1922135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13845248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13228164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under54c297.33$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.681,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over43c286.7$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.532,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Under53c280$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.627939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.787471.6%53 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Over47c268$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9615246.7%71 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over45c264.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9242853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over44c255.53$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4333149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Over18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.99017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006860.3%41 W · 27 L+11.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+39.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c223$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.122,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.