TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c14,061$9,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,790.054,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over35c12,813$4,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,462.837140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under65c10,396$6,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,663.7977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under66c5,220$3,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.651,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Over35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75026447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over35c4,286$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under65c2,778$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.042,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over34c2,519$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over35c1,988$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under66c1,650$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.961931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c1,543$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.322,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Over34c1,103$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37529018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e63…ed53backed Over35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under66c846.97$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9722355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25217241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d57…9d36backed Over34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046317.5%11 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over34c545$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.051,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Under66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1707247.2%34 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Under66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1707945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under72c403.33$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.634,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over30c294$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.771,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Over34c291.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x701e…6137backed Over35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.54420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over35c240.74$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2323729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e69…54b0backed Under67c235.44$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.931275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under64c228.56$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.051,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under66c195.66$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0842332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd84f…dd03backed Over28c193.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.118622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under65c180.35$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1246546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over28c175$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under65c160.39$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1459752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Over35c157.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510335%36 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under65c154.92$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2242853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over34c137.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8248937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over34c126.06$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.865020%10 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under65c119.76$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.771,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Over70c108.85$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8151228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b4…3865backed Over33c102.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.033342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b85…6216backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under65c98.54$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.331,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Over22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016739.5%66 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Under67c83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3927227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over35c82.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910728%30 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under66c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5188852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Over35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.259450%47 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513736.5%50 W · 87 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over34c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.626344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe174…084ebacked Over36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257323.3%17 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Under26c68.53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.713935.9%14 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+97.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under66c65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.882,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0720backed Over35c64.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3815246.1%70 W · 82 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x104a…cc7ebacked Over34c60.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.543050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016535.2%58 W · 107 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under66c57.96$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7666056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over19c57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8312847.7%61 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under67c55.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under67c54.27$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9125857%147 W · 111 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbcb…2941backed Over36c53.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.439753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under66c53.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.152,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Over34c49.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.948042.5%34 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under65c44.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.543,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b7…0bc9backed Over35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145048%24 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over34c37.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.872,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4985…dce4backed Over36c36.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Over35c31.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119341.9%39 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over34c31.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0243…b5a5backed Over34c30.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c4b…bda8backed Over34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb6…223cbacked Under66c24.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.225819%11 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under67c20.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8863255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under66c20.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9848154.9%264 W · 217 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716157.8%93 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed Under65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed Under66c18.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3721051.4%108 W · 102 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.