TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Swedenof France, Sweden
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$591,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$587,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfde6…7ed6backed France15c50,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,299.9742710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed France16c49,505$8,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,041.32,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed France20c17,120$3,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,351.0915844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed France16c15,625$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed France27c14,261$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,920.051,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked France24c13,481$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,176.3720646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed France27c11,011$2,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.0514045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France30c9,534$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.052,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Sweden65c8,733$5,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,027.0617550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked France24c7,000$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.9714250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked France14c7,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Sweden75c6,681$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.6365948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed France9c6,462$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.061,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed France15c5,833$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.951,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked France25c5,543$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.2653629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c60…f4fcbacked Sweden72c5,440$3,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.711275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+52.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed France14c5,229$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.126634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Sweden72c4,151$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.5925821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed France17c4,072$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6925729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked France19c3,457$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Sweden54c3,400$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.9515147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked France30c3,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed France15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked France17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed France7c2,556$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Sweden62c2,311$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.391,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed France15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006939.1%27 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed France20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9938526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked France22c1,981$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.3831232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked France25c1,886$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed France29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked France28c1,657$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.993,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…5b07backed France8c1,528$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.232240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed France38c1,448$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France18c1,330$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.562,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed France43c1,162$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.666538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Sweden77c1,137$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.82,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed France17c1,133$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.667834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19cd…997abacked France9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed France45c1,108$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked France17c1,098$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6414428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed France44c1,094$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.431545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed France44c1,027$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.3828251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed France16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011531.3%36 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed France46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked France17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706129.5%18 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France25c991.15$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.988,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed France15c899.93$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff14…dd5bbacked France41c846.54$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.0816046.3%74 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed France1c822.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1746012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked France22c800$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17627811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Sweden60c799.37$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3925753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f5b…315ebacked France15c705.73$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.861414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed France14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed France15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed France14c696.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1522633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed France29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed France18c639.15$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6438437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2e…34cbbacked Sweden74c628.28$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1512342.3%52 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fb…0047backed France16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed France16c624.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008615.1%13 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked France23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1389324.7%23 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Sweden73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16219351.8%100 W · 93 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed France14c587.62$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+94%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed France17c585.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4919317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed France19c582$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.151,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed France41c579.78$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9924849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed France42c570.91$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6926459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed France17c568.76$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6913736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c7c…0ec9backed Sweden56c557.11$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.843528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Sweden62c547.09$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.977865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked France10c533.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.353933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked France32c523.52$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.391,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed France46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9101…78ddbacked Sweden79c491.39$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.78862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked France33c472.78$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0273536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed France16c468.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed France37c466.8$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.41,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e6…9e72backed France15c466.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked France47c456.5$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed France20c450$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8831920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked France38c435.49$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.231,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a28…8962backed France47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012139.7%48 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed France15c400.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.033,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked France14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5645038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42c4…93a7backed France30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+60.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked France17c386.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7943139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x319a…039bbacked France16c370.25$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.247312.3%9 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed France18c363$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed France14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d18…c84dbacked France19c352.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.856738.8%26 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa7…2723backed France17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606227.4%17 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed France24c350.22$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2cb8…3e04backed France15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7828…e558backed France15c333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.952445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked France15c333$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.643,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Sweden77c322.63$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7985550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe964…8b45backed France16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked France16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509131.9%29 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ecd…c49fbacked France16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.