TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,940 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over30c1,075$320 inLost-$319.92,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under70c846.89$594 inWon+$253.223,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over60c626$375 inLost-$375.3418642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over60c336$201 inLost-$201.041,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5724…b563backed Under45c330.1$150 inWon+$180.14452.3%23 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+61.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under70c321.42$226 inWon+$95.813,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Over47c317.89$150 inLost-$15020427.5%56 W · 148 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over30c301$90 inLost-$90.32,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under41c283.75$116 inWon+$167.74,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under48c221.8$106 inWon+$115.442,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over50c213.06$106 inLost-$106.061,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8221…2a48backed Over44c200$88 inLost-$881050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under48c200$95 inWon+$10582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under36c182.92$66 inWon+$116.541,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc961…db04backed Over61c169$103 inLost-$103.093551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under70c151.08$106 inWon+$44.581,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under43c148.73$64 inWon+$84.922,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over65c129$84 inLost-$83.571,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over57c123.99$70 inLost-$70.0887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53a1…b1b0backed Under72c111.25$80 inWon+$31.2517959.2%106 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under48c106.88$51 inWon+$55.822,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a1c…eb60backed Over54c100$54 inLost-$545257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under37c90$34 inWon+$56.281,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53fd…be83backed Over64c89.88$57 inLost-$57.23666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under20c86$17 inWon+$69.162,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under35c70.42$25 inWon+$45.721,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under66c66.01$43 inWon+$22.648,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over63c60.93$39 inLost-$38.511,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5f…8274backed Under58c59.86$35 inWon+$24.861172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over30c50$15 inLost-$1531747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over47c46.72$22 inLost-$21.8272247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over66c43$28 inLost-$28.181,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f0…2133backed Under69c36.23$25 inWon+$11.231764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under70c35.08$25 inWon+$10.4486656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeff4…88d2backed Under72c27.78$20 inWon+$7.783873.7%28 W · 10 L+0.2wins0.00per pick73cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under71c27.22$19 inWon+$8.021,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under70c25$18 inWon+$7.53,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x608e…450dbacked Under69c20$14 inWon+$6.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.