France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b16b12489d8309c2f78f957b9636082a2a376c4046ac0d065c832106102d217

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $326,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $404,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,572 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	14c	31,864$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400.08	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	4c	16,876$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.05	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	14c	10,566$1,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.24	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	14c	10,279$1,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,438.99	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	6c	10,124$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.53	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over	7c	7,142$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.94	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabea…72aebacked Over	13c	5,685$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.02	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over	3c	4,617$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.86	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	6c	4,433$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.54	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	5c	3,008$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.43	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	6c	2,942$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.24	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	8c	2,227$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.03	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+220.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	13c	1,926$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.75	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	13c	1,812$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.61	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	9c	1,507$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.59	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	9c	1,458$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.41	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf72c…f818backed Over	12c	1,224$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.37	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8706…f8ccbacked Over	13c	1,154$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+76%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over	13c	1,044$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.75	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	13c	1,024$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.06	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	226	22.1%50 W · 176 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	8c	969.94$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.86	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	5c	880.89$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.54	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over	11c	755.39$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.09	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Over	3c	548.32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe547…0443backed Over	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	71	11.3%8 W · 63 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	257	37%95 W · 162 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	3c	499.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	7c	453.13$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.35	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	13c	431.81$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.14	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over	14c	394.29$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	335	44.5%149 W · 186 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3a…e1c0backed Over	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0367…e7fbbacked Over	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	14c	342.86$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over	14c	325.29$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.54	221	35.3%78 W · 143 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Over	13c	307.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	7c	300$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…2ee2backed Over	13c	286.46$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.24	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Over	14c	285.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	13c	275$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.75	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-17.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over	14c	244.66$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.23	117	20.5%24 W · 93 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8733…5460backed Over	13c	228.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.73	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over	9c	219.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	323	17.6%57 W · 266 L	-43.8wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x25fb…7cc5backed Over	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over	7c	200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	8c	165$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	10c	159$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	188	21.8%41 W · 147 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over	13c	140$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88ef…b3debacked Over	10c	133.25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e5…dd13backed Over	14c	125$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa967…9871backed Over	14c	106.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0a…3615backed Over	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc7…f23cbacked Over	13c	92.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5this page
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Sweden: Team to AdvanceFrance won
France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)France won
Spread: France (-3.5)Sweden won
Spread: France (-4.5)Sweden won
Spread: France (-5.5)Sweden won
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)France won
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event