TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof Vitality, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed 9z30c88,689$26,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,412.6925355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality70c70,000$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,00050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Vitality71c41,799$29,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,868.1214050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 9z28c20,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40023145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked 9z28c12,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,639.9936152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked 9z32c11,713$3,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,969.7975652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb78b…2bb3backed Vitality72c10,417$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5002564%16 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x525f…6401backed Vitality0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103850%19 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed 9z30c5,775$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,054.5884958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Vitality71c5,490$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,874.9722449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Vitality68c5,441$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70019245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 9z30c5,011$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,507.4678639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Vitality68c4,412$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00012955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed 9z28c4,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9926952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed 9z32c3,500$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed 9z26c3,278$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.093250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 9z29c3,032$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.081,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Vitality70c2,400$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Vitality71c2,005$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.541040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vitality74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4802,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Vitality70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40029449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d29…0206backed Vitality80c2,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5901833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd9e…da6cbacked 9z29c1,725$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed 9z50c1,722$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.751,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked 9z29c1,515$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.4919351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Vitality71c1,500$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06585851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Vitality70c1,435$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8b5…c111backed Vitality72c1,329$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9574461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed 9z50c1,276$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63810844.4%48 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked 9z31c1,209$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.6389248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed 9z32c1,170$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.657641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8085…ea17backed Vitality72c1,111$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 9z30c1,111$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.71,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Vitality71c1,090$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.1923354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 9z18c1,054$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.832,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 9z12c1,050$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.411,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5803…7a85backed Vitality68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…f949backed Vitality70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Vitality70c999.96$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9717853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed Vitality71c948.37$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.8618848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z18c942.54$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.97,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Vitality71c918.91$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.4338650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 9z30c912.53$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.775,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Vitality72c826.39$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59539157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed 9z21c811.7$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.1950947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Vitality71c805.77$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.2917850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Vitality67c751.35$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.422266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed 9z31c750$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.349935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed 9z32c721.08$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3361154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Vitality70c712.14$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.516761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Vitality70c709.92$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.9411349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9559…9fd7backed Vitality70c700$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4905343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Vitality68c674.89$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.932347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Vitality71c649.99$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.4932346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9044…dcedbacked Vitality71c615.31$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.576755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Vitality70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42012441.1%51 W · 73 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed 9z30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4207354.8%40 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa033…4938backed 9z30c598.7$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.098545.9%39 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569c…fd71backed Vitality71c587.84$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked Vitality70c571.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005650%28 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Vitality70c571.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Vitality69c570.98$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.9715363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed 9z15c513.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.3321949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4b…553bbacked Vitality69c507.25$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed 9z29c503.51$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.4988242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Vitality71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35543640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked Vitality70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35036645.6%167 W · 199 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed Vitality68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3405538.2%21 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Vitality68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Vitality68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed 9z30c448.37$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.8625845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa77c…587ebacked Vitality70c438.57$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Vitality70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015758%91 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Vitality70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Vitality70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Vitality71c417.83$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7522740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Vitality72c417.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality69c400$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27638954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9z30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Vitality69c362.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Vitality74c343.41$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.121,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 9z29c322.43$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.922,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed 9z31c320.27$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9864854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked 9z30c306.43$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.548845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Vitality68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed 9z29c281.38$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.782,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Vitality72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Vitality25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed 9z30c240$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed 9z31c240$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.662538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f90…a39fbacked Vitality72c233.33$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16811550.4%58 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Vitality71c211.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15044675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Vitality72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Vitality71c201.75$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.245752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked 9z31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1385453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed 9z30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14017251.2%88 W · 84 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c4c…f869backed Vitality69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13812053.3%64 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed Vitality68c199.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9918148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Vitality68c199.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9826451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Vitality70c191.86$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13420059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.