CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e1a1e28b0bbf0919571e58168fe5c9e04c8a5ce2a56db8bc9199db454f3f90b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 27c | 2,057$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.8 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 72c | 1,489$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.29 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…8a00backed Under | 72c | 1,096$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 75c | 1,032$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.52 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Under | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 38c | 947.58$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.81 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 26c | 750$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 73c | 721$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.33 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 26c | 531.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.54 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 28c | 531.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.66 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 73c | 519.34$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.58 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Under | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 28c | 489.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Under | 73c | 467.04$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.94 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Over | 28c | 345.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.61 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 38c | 321.92$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.65 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 6c | 319.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.56 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Under | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 46c | 247$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 28c | 210.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.32 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 71c | 193$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c56…978fbacked Over | 29c | 181.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Over | 16c | 146.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 50c | 137.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 26c | 117.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6abd…3297backed Over | 70c | 115.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 22c | 111.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Over | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 17c | 90.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 68c | 51.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 55c | 46.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 71c | 42.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…7ecebacked Over | 31c | 41.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 78c | 35.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed Over | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 62c | 20.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 73c | 20.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…c515backed Under | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 39z won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)Vitality won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)9z won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)9z won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.