Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Tsitsipas (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf043d88ce0b68eb0c0bf535fe63f2cd993162c1427eb2712f37244fc171c955d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Djokovic, Tsitsipas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a22…7b00backed Tsitsipas | 62c | 4,533$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Djokovic | 38c | 2,844$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.23 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Djokovic | 38c | 1,756$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.44 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Tsitsipas | 63c | 1,568$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.42 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Tsitsipas | 45c | 1,500$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.98 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Djokovic | 38c | 1,497$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.14 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Djokovic | 52c | 1,298$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.07 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…4201backed Tsitsipas | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Djokovic | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Djokovic | 38c | 999.98$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.45 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Tsitsipas | 62c | 906.4$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.57 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 47c | 776.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.8 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Tsitsipas | 61c | 657.38$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Tsitsipas | 55c | 630$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Djokovic | 37c | 555$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.65 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tsitsipas | 40c | 500$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.46 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Tsitsipas | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Djokovic | 55c | 434.07$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.07 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Djokovic | 49c | 406.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.9 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Tsitsipas | 62c | 403.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Djokovic | 38c | 383.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.48 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Tsitsipas | 33c | 322.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Tsitsipas | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tsitsipas | 53c | 275.26$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Tsitsipas | 62c | 273.11$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Djokovic | 38c | 269.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Tsitsipas | 60c | 253.4$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Djokovic | 45c | 252.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Tsitsipas | 57c | 244.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Djokovic | 55c | 232.14$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Tsitsipas | 62c | 230$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Djokovic | 58c | 229.14$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Djokovic | 55c | 218.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a6…a5cfbacked Djokovic | 77c | 206.15$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Djokovic | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Djokovic | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Tsitsipas | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Tsitsipas | 54c | 165.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Tsitsipas | 31c | 163.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Tsitsipas | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Tsitsipas | 33c | 148.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tsitsipas | 53c | 137.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Djokovic | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Tsitsipas | 47c | 116.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Djokovic | 39c | 108.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Tsitsipas | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Tsitsipas | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Tsitsipas | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Tsitsipas | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Tsitsipas | 62c | 90.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Tsitsipas | 60c | 88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Djokovic | 38c | 79.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Tsitsipas | 53c | 79.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Djokovic | 38c | 78.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Tsitsipas | 62c | 76.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…eb51backed Tsitsipas | 62c | 75.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Tsitsipas | 61c | 64.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…2a32backed Tsitsipas | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Djokovic | 45c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda62…f654backed Djokovic | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Djokovic | 70c | 48.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Tsitsipas | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…3993backed Tsitsipas | 62c | 46.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Djokovic | 45c | 38.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…1e00backed Tsitsipas | 62c | 30.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Djokovic | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Djokovic | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb718…67e4backed Djokovic | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…8cacbacked Tsitsipas | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 213 | 61.5%131 W · 82 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…05c0backed Tsitsipas | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed Tsitsipas | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Tsitsipas | 57c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Tsitsipas (+2.5)this page
- Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Tsitsipas vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 3 Winner: Tsitsipas vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Tsitsipas vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Wimbledon ATP: Completed Match: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak DjokovicYes won
- Wimbledon ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.