Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fbae6508aef6fac6c48fd42888ae52a2b2f33891582f61a98dd11b7196863a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Tsitsipas, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Tsitsipas | 38c | 1,059$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tsitsipas | 22c | 999.28$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Djokovic | 63c | 856.38$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.98 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Tsitsipas | 35c | 730.61$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.56 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Djokovic | 78c | 513.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Djokovic | 64c | 512$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Djokovic | 63c | 467.67$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…3c18backed Djokovic | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Tsitsipas | 28c | 130.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tsitsipas | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…7013backed Tsitsipas | 42c | 92.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Tsitsipas | 17c | 89.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Tsitsipas | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Tsitsipas | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Djokovic | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Tsitsipas | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Djokovic | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 176 | 62.5%110 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Djokovic | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Djokovicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 3 Winner: Tsitsipas vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Tsitsipas (+2.5)Djokovic won
- Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Tsitsipas vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Wimbledon ATP: Completed Match: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak DjokovicYes won
- Wimbledon ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.