Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6155c4dd2aa59bfc2eb7dda95141992b93a6a4591e71a678d6b64e54618982e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Djokovic, Tsitsipas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Djokovic | 71c | 5,898$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.07 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Tsitsipas | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 69c | 712.87$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Tsitsipas | 30c | 625.84$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.75 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tsitsipas | 31c | 600$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Djokovic | 67c | 499.97$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf6…dd05backed Tsitsipas | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Tsitsipas | 34c | 457.26$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tsitsipas | 28c | 342.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tsitsipas | 29c | 342.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tsitsipas | 31c | 339.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Djokovic | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Tsitsipas | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Tsitsipas | 31c | 129$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Tsitsipas | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…c98cbacked Djokovic | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Tsitsipas | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Djokovic | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Tsitsipas | 33c | 51.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tsitsipas | 30c | 41.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…ad3abacked Djokovic | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…c87dbacked Djokovic | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)this page
- Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Tsitsipas vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 3 Winner: Tsitsipas vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Tsitsipas (+2.5)Djokovic won
- Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Tsitsipas vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Wimbledon ATP: Completed Match: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak DjokovicYes won
- Wimbledon ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.