Tennis · resolved market
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa15292cbf9e0648681caec2c1b8c79274139d6b678a1d0e3dfa2bef3a2d8b2db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under 3.5 | 42c | 1,065$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.43 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over 3.5 | 57c | 871.14$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…701dbacked Over 3.5 | 58c | 686.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…b120backed Over 3.5 | 58c | 621.02$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 42c | 599.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.65 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under 3.5 | 41c | 418.73$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 1,143 | 41.3%472 W · 671 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Under 3.5 | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 40c | 348.36$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.02 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.5 | 42c | 310.81$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.38 | 1,505 | 37.7%568 W · 937 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under 3.5 | 78c | 294.3$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under 3.5 | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Over 3.5 | 53c | 217.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b7…b0b3backed Over 3.5 | 58c | 172.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over 3.5 | 22c | 168.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over 3.5 | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over 3.5 | 60c | 126.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over 3.5 | 58c | 113.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Over 3.5 | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…51eebacked Over 3.5 | 58c | 85.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd61…9193backed Over 3.5 | 58c | 84.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under 3.5 | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under 3.5 | 79c | 62.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Over 3.5 | 59c | 51.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under 3.5 | 80c | 48.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under 3.5 | 43c | 44.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…bb0cbacked Over 3.5 | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under 3.5 | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked Over 3.5 | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under 3.5 | 47c | 34.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…c87dbacked Over 3.5 | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Under 3.5 | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 175 | 58.3%102 W · 73 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0b…d92cbacked Under 3.5 | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under 3.5 | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Tsitsipas vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 3 Winner: Tsitsipas vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Tsitsipas (+2.5)Djokovic won
- Tsitsipas vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Wimbledon ATP: Completed Match: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak DjokovicYes won
- Wimbledon ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.