TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4337…8882backed Under49c11,120$5,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,671.0888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe0…1bb7backed Over51c9,893$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e2e…f663backed Over51c7,843$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdafe…c5b5backed Over55c3,130$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.032339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under52c2,365$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.386251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under51c2,255$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.191,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Under52c2,118$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.8814042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over48c2,062$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under45c1,862$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.415,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under76c1,706$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.61,36066.3%901 W · 459 L+75.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Over50c1,583$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.4214363.6%91 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over7c1,493$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.934042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,375$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.561047.7%291 W · 319 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c1,230$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.662,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked Over49c1,026$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48023658.5%138 W · 98 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over56c894.38$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over50c870.52$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.265543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under51c625.35$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.2489248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c610$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.11,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Over51c543.8$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.346048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Under50c540$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24021246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21027753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over50c417.16$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9828549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c409.27$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.72,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd771…489fbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19619351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under49c358.74$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.8222838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over48c335.67$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1221945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb90…2bd9backed Over40c322.5$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c4…9deabacked Under71c310$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e7…73e4backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c14…a9c1backed Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over50c259.16$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012157.9%70 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over24c251.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.673,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over49c245.26$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.183253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Over40c241.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7310452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…793dbacked Over45c219.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Under50c217.06$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5318338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c215.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8819543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over28c206.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4830236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Over5c205.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.262835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over24c201.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.991,64332.8%539 W · 1,104 L-48.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under59c201.25$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.521,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988946.1%41 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02dc…b9c9backed Over51c197.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007450%37 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x284a…8759backed Over51c196.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over35c192$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.964046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over49c188.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.611150.5%56 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Over53c182.96$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9715758%91 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under52c169.23$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2337949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over48c167.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.315648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over17c157.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.473,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under73c143.33$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2368059.3%403 W · 277 L+64.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c96…f26abacked Over50c140.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over26c140.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.222,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under69c133.18$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8526653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Over49c131$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1911151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Over51c129.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ff…45f5backed Under78c124.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over28c122.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.912,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Under47c118.87$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6319849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Over54c115.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.736552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5537453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.813240.9%54 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fb…3f95backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b8…deb6backed Over48c102.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-63.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68b5…5952backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6add…6992backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over24c101.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1745138.4%173 W · 278 L-29.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x428b…4f48backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53050%15 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5975…2f1cbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca3…b826backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed Over50c99.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030039.7%119 W · 181 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over50c98.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4911944.5%53 W · 66 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505056%28 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb434…8b4fbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502475%18 W · 6 L+6.8wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+74.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Over51c92.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.224254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed Over51c92.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.224856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f66…3993backed Over51c92.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.223253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae28…8883backed Over51c92.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.221442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9632…a379backed Over51c92.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.222240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…6761backed Over51c92.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.225137.3%19 W · 32 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over23c92.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.922,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x05c6…90bfbacked Over55c90.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf561…f20dbacked Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407646.1%35 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x258a…0fc3backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3902…9691backed Under64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.134100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3542…d286backed Over51c76.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397262.5%45 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.