TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$401,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$381,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c98,297$68,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,561.544,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Over31c29,935$9,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,221.223966.7%26 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over10c25,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over42c19,636$8,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,300.642,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under75c10,776$8,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.551,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c10,750$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.53,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Over40c9,189$3,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,681.8213953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over22c7,946$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.6277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x888b…5d1abacked Over25c7,781$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.241050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+56.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf9…934abacked Under76c6,894$5,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.513100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c6,763$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.324,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over31c5,885$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Over35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7509823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over39c4,867$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.552,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over36c4,800$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,73443248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under58c4,385$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.687163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under73c3,855$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.514,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Under69c2,841$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.775356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over33c2,821$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.8928025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under69c2,675$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.941,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over23c2,462$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.412,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over45c2,192$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.248032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over55c2,168$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18810949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over32c2,082$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.2316546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over28c1,772$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.052,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over28c1,750$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.723,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Under69c1,684$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.043363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under77c1,550$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.542,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Under53c1,546$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.527550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Over34c1,528$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.667648.7%37 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over46c1,500$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69520234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Over19c1,480$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5911811.9%14 W · 104 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187c…8708backed Over30c1,465$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4463729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…7a85backed Under69c1,399$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.691573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+55.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over49c1,388$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Over48c1,219$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.126844.1%30 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73ae…e665backed Under68c1,120$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3642864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed Under69c1,022$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.822958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ab…840ebacked Under69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Under69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3103363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.130626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e4…26e9backed Over25c968.72$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.184634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under53c904.85$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.892,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f4d…65cbbacked Over46c804.35$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over33c759.56$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24732922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over31c750.42$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over25c695.98$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6948328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over50c647$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.861,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over19c645.95$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.731,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Over34c605.71$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9418433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over20c600$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11714231%44 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over47c592.15$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28014866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under68c576.69$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.11,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under69c524.62$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6336448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under69c508.56$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.161,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1557247.2%34 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1555549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15510247.1%48 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15519251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a7f…3797backed Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1554060%24 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1556157.4%35 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15512056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1557047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1554736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over29c500$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14715424.7%38 W · 116 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over31c500$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15618929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1557945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1555648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a8…fea1backed Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1559552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb6…944cbacked Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe96f…22a2backed Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1554643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb983…20e6backed Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e3…6298backed Under76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12012249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed Over32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed Under56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2204748.9%23 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under68c498.77$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.872,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under69c496.24$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.191,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over36c489.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.65945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under44c467.97$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4121937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21eb…6dedbacked Over59c435.56$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over28c427.57$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.133,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…ad44backed Over47c421.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002931%9 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.818448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6d…27bbbacked Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004238.1%16 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1886741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c388.37$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.051,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under70c373$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.182,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under74c367$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1673536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over59c337.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fc…3841backed Over47c331.91$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15618750.8%95 W · 92 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.