Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6575f358c1b972c6a1e3cc7715dd757e5c9d757391f5e606c73aacbbfcc13704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 17,365$11,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,102.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.86 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 32c | 4,870$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.38 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6885backed Over | 62c | 1,522$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.1 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 64c | 1,230$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…ed53backed Over | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 35c | 645.97$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.23 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…4c8ebacked Under | 13c | 638.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Under | 37c | 600.69$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…5730backed Under | 31c | 577.71$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.09 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 38c | 499.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Under | 40c | 498.48$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 64c | 468.03$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 65c | 413.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…6655backed Over | 69c | 360.68$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 36c | 357.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 39c | 349.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 34c | 340.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 35c | 276.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 36c | 273.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Under | 32c | 203$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…e3babacked Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…c814backed Under | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 68c | 130.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…ea06backed Under | 33c | 119.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 118.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…72a8backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 242 | 56.6%137 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 38c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Over | 73c | 88.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de6…d677backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Over | 64c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 174 | 32.8%57 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 61c | 62.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 54.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed Under | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 65c | 31.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d3…9b6ebacked Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…0182backed Over | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a8…cc69backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 60c | 20.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Over | 68c | 17.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…4aa9backed Over | 69c | 17.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Over | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…aa5bbacked Over | 63c | 15.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)France won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)France won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.