TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,753,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,971,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,753,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 786 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc67a…f0b6backed Under58c322,820$187,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187,235.362123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-52.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c128,073$69,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,627.214,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over42c104,460$43,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,078.812,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over42c100,000$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,00074752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over42c80,000$33,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,399.924456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over42c74,444$30,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,477.3842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over63c60,590$38,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,125.742,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under59c60,262$35,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,757.0715950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked Under59c60,000$35,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,399.974040%16 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over42c48,850$20,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,3339747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Over41c48,780$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,780.499045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over42c40,530$16,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,548.241,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over42c38,970$16,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,602.62,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Over44c34,252$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,251.528246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under59c25,401$14,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,986.4151032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under58c25,000$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,499.9527039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under59c23,009$13,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,575.3138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c22,319$9,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,247.83,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over43c22,266$9,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,798.461,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under58c20,392$11,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,827.6326447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under59c20,000$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,80013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Under58c20,000$11,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,599.998325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over60c19,921$11,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,999.964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over42c19,393$8,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,247.942,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under6c19,143$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under59c17,706$10,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,446.5528162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over41c17,538$7,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,269.7417748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under58c14,430$8,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,369.3932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under58c13,291$7,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,708.621,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under59c12,000$7,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,08027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under44c11,399$4,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,975.1242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under59c10,698$6,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,311.5670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under5c10,561$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.4422933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Over41c9,684$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,683.5212536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under4c9,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f557backed Under59c8,591$5,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,068.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under36c8,317$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9949525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under58c8,159$4,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,765.822,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under58c8,000$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,639.9931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Over42c7,143$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,142.862040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over42c7,000$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,081.0250243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Under58c6,896$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.768453.6%45 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over42c6,666$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,866.2821849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over65c6,426$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over42c6,172$2,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,584.4544144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over43c6,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,45029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over32c5,488$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,726.5522450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over41c5,325$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15512536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over41c5,276$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.0723942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over39c5,103$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,103.3630140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Under58c5,083$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.023754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under15c4,908$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.6266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over60c4,358$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.181,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under19c4,298$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.6143737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under58c4,045$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.271,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40020337.9%77 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over42c3,977$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.6518633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under56c3,816$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.8247643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under12c3,644$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.1730626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over41c3,325$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.1647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over42c3,274$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.2948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Over40c3,135$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.952882.1%23 W · 5 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74010441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74023949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Over62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14018431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under59c2,966$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.941,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over41c2,939$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.092,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6f…37b1backed Over42c2,650$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over42c2,648$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.8428133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9afc…7ac1backed Under58c2,586$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed Over41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4758349.4%41 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c2,486$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.254,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Over40c2,467$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.416549.1%81 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over41c2,425$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.5147442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…3902backed Over42c2,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2383…072fbacked Over42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.951662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+56.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Over35c2,286$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.717826.9%21 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bd…3947backed Under58c2,241$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over72c2,213$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.623857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1daf…bc9ebacked Under58c1,886$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Over43c1,877$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.085341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb7…18eebacked Under58c1,828$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf0…7c18backed Under58c1,828$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Under58c1,813$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.5410152.5%53 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafda…a969backed Under58c1,810$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff12…b7dbbacked Under58c1,784$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…58a2backed Under58c1,776$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x092d…e607backed Under58c1,759$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8714…308dbacked Under58c1,759$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0c…bdc8backed Under58c1,759$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9442…e2fbbacked Under58c1,750$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over41c1,743$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.83,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9b…5bb9backed Under58c1,741$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb9c…02a6backed Under58c1,741$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Over35c1,734$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.353432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb315…78aebacked Under58c1,707$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e2…766bbacked Under58c1,707$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked Under40c1,700$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6806338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.