TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,700 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under66c1,473$976 inLost-$975.74,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under67c1,388$930 inLost-$929.6716165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over35c1,126$389 inWon+$737.375248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over28c995.68$274 inWon+$721.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Over33c800$264 inWon+$536650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over72c693.88$500 inWon+$194.2827466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c642$428 inLost-$428.164,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under67c596.15$402 inLost-$401.942,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over39c367.76$143 inWon+$224.3448937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under62c349.97$217 inLost-$216.9870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Over32c305$98 inWon+$207.45341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under67c277.24$186 inLost-$185.821,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under60c246.58$148 inLost-$147.9595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b01…00fabacked Over33c188.09$62 inWon+$126.021758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Over32c156.25$50 inWon+$106.2514225.4%36 W · 106 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over40c125$50 inWon+$751833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd00f…1ba0backed Under68c99.99$68 inLost-$67.994742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under66c91.46$61 inLost-$60.523,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb635…180dbacked Over34c88.24$30 inWon+$58.2411735%41 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over31c82.49$25 inWon+$57.0412848.4%62 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff0…c7aabacked Under61c70.39$43 inLost-$42.941553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over35c65$23 inWon+$42.311,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over31c61.84$19 inWon+$42.6733438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under67c60$40 inLost-$39.932855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed79…1e49backed Over34c58.82$20 inWon+$38.826434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under67c50.94$34 inLost-$34.372,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over33c50$17 inWon+$33.519040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under66c43.26$29 inLost-$28.643,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Over39c40$16 inWon+$24.425655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over38c39.47$15 inWon+$24.4716535.2%58 W · 107 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over72c36.02$26 inWon+$10.091,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under69c28$19 inLost-$19.3225948.6%126 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Over79c18.47$15 inWon+$3.810335%36 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0b7…a401backed Under66c16.56$11 inLost-$112231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked Under67c16$11 inLost-$10.7220942.6%89 W · 120 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under68c15.49$11 inLost-$10.563,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under67c15.2$10 inLost-$10.131,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.