TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,949 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb10b…0b04backed Over26c457.62$119 inLost-$118.9832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under64c348.32$223 inWon+$125.434249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under63c343.04$216 inWon+$126.9263745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over35c306.24$106 inLost-$105.892,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under74c241.59$180 inWon+$61.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under75c169.91$127 inWon+$43.241,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63cf…94ddbacked Under68c147.2$100 inWon+$47.210442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca77…d7a8backed Over36c136.11$49 inLost-$495839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over24c100$24 inLost-$241,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c7f…25bdbacked Over40c100$40 inLost-$4020932.5%68 W · 141 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b2…f077backed Over36c100$36 inLost-$363868.4%26 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over36c83.33$30 inLost-$3040435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under72c65$47 inWon+$18.53,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1b…92debacked Over27c50$14 inLost-$13.510634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e1…38debacked Over30c50$15 inLost-$157244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over34c44.06$15 inLost-$15.171,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under74c41.59$31 inWon+$10.813,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under60c41.4$25 inWon+$16.562,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e40…1945backed Under75c40$30 inWon+$103357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under68c38.46$26 inWon+$12.311,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under75c38$28 inWon+$9.661,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under74c35$26 inWon+$9.12,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under62c32.39$20 inWon+$12.3121565.1%140 W · 75 L+16.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd339…c54fbacked Under73c27.27$20 inWon+$7.271442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under79c25$20 inWon+$5.3387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under59c22$13 inWon+$9.022,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under74c21.85$16 inWon+$5.683,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82cc…26d8backed Under68c20.76$14 inWon+$6.64825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-63%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under74c13.7$10 inWon+$3.5686656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.