Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6692a8edaaa07bef3eac6ebf08d69a7d0c69ef8fd787a878f798dfd04a71eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 77c | 8,449$6,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.27 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 77c | 6,082$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.77 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Under | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 23c | 3,804$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.92 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c44…0fb0backed Over | 79c | 3,757$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.87 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…07b4backed Over | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 2,110$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 22c | 1,650$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.92 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 1,633$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.35 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 22c | 1,528$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.1 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 23c | 1,478$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…1420backed Under | 22c | 1,395$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 22c | 839.21$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 21c | 835$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Under | 21c | 783.93$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.63 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…f538backed Under | 25c | 747$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 23c | 607.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 79c | 505.37$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 24c | 420.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Under | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…f5e0backed Under | 23c | 282.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…cc88backed Over | 76c | 263.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 79c | 256.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 21c | 214.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 79c | 189.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 77c | 178.76$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 23c | 170.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab8…3cecbacked Over | 78c | 141.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 79c | 134.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…dc9ebacked Over | 80c | 125.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Under | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 29.3%41 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…5dedbacked Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 88.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…1533backed Over | 79c | 62.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…553cbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Over | 79c | 60.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…1e00backed Over | 79c | 60.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed Under | 21c | 55.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 21c | 51.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…943ebacked Over | 79c | 50.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9726backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…88fdbacked Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…1655backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…bbc3backed Over | 77c | 38.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…9bdcbacked Over | 79c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8226…7a58backed Over | 79c | 24.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed Over | 79c | 24.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…b950backed Over | 79c | 23.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Over | 79c | 23.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…7b04backed Over | 79c | 20.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8780…4e7dbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…5d17backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…f897backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)France won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)France won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.