TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: France O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,198
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,198 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e5e…7315backed Under9c90,000$8,100 inLost-$8,099.986114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under8c5,444$436 inLost-$435.5267447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under7c3,711$272 inLost-$271.914,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under1c3,576$49 inLost-$49.082,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under8c2,000$160 inLost-$1601,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under11c1,954$215 inLost-$214.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Under9c999.99$90 inLost-$9010026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under11c999.98$110 inLost-$11070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under9c805.61$73 inLost-$72.821,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under7c771.81$57 inLost-$57.1295037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under10c499.92$50 inLost-$49.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under7c419.73$29 inLost-$29.381,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under9c345.73$30 inLost-$30.373,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd6…c2b8backed Under10c300$30 inLost-$303141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under8c293.47$23 inLost-$23.4873234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under8c239.99$20 inLost-$20.41,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Under8c200$15 inLost-$1522623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under11c171.65$20 inLost-$19.691,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under11c150$17 inLost-$16.532837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under9c145.17$13 inLost-$12.922,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.