TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,685 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e63…ed53backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost-$5002828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb892…2ce1backed Under53c566.04$300 inWon+$266.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Under52c547.88$285 inWon+$262.984250%21 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c464.93$221 inLost-$221.283,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Under52c441.54$230 inWon+$211.948748.3%42 W · 45 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under52c350$182 inWon+$16870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c293.42$156 inWon+$137.271,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over45c281.36$128 inLost-$127.7112848.4%62 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c268.87$129 inLost-$129.063,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Over15c228.88$34 inLost-$34.335127.5%14 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost-$10020448.5%99 W · 105 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c217.67$149 inLost-$148.68,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Under10c106.84$11 inWon+$96.1612145.5%55 W · 66 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over47c70.01$33 inLost-$33.223,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef3…dbcdbacked Over45c66.67$30 inLost-$303231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Over53c37.73$20 inLost-$2012954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under59c32$19 inWon+$136535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.