TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$373,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$416,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2184…4c8ebacked Under0c158,282$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803959%23 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over47c14,767$6,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,826.691643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under54c10,900$5,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,88621333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c10,411$6,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,348.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under54c7,297$3,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,940.3429740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under54c6,430$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,481.741,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under32c6,224$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.312,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under54c5,500$2,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Over40c5,310$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,201.6817733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over42c4,707$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.5337223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over44c4,516$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.752,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over47c4,444$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.3232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under41c3,772$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.612,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c3,657$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.093,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over74c3,524$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.3120150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under38c3,498$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.432,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under54c3,494$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.253,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c3,419$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.444,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over48c3,415$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.341331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over44c3,171$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.4870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under58c3,088$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.791,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over48c3,072$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.216953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over44c2,955$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.5515034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under57c2,642$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.521,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under55c2,526$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.271,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under56c2,376$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.6837850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over74c2,308$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under59c2,263$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.156640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over46c2,154$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.173855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3324341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under27c1,952$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c1,929$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.952,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over51c1,928$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.724740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over45c1,906$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.1742345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under56c1,596$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.9136250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under56c1,400$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78438351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under56c1,200$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67235251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over47c1,174$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.9831435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Under57c1,140$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6508160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c27…f2aabacked Under54c1,092$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.8614637.7%55 W · 91 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under56c999.98$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9915149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under24c999.97$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under52c942.96$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.341030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c907.73$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.123,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under56c892.85$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under56c860.99$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.1512534.4%43 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under55c852.01$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.4121044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7a…d48dbacked Over47c837.06$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.641323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over73c794.52$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5215440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under30c712.65$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2225049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under30c666.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc41…6b74backed Under31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002313%3 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.314539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked Under53c631.98$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.024438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33639050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33638451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under55c573.31$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.133245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over44c541.13$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.031,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Over74c538.7$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.54353.5%23 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66d3…ac9dbacked Over78c513.13$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.133873.7%28 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over42c504.36$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.8111545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10bd…270bbacked Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2809036.7%33 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under22c496.13$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1534122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over44c460$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.611445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5736539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ac…dc9ebacked Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.414040%16 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaba…cf38backed Over76c404.93$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.456647%31 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22435352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22435451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22439951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22437051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under57c396.42$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.62,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed Over76c389.7$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5311840.7%48 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over53c378.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.328251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over46c369.57$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5746223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over60c351.25$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5433438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over46c350$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18945038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under54c339.96$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.011,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under25c330.08$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.823,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over70c324.21$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.744,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Under56c319.99$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.227939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9da9…43d1backed Under32c314.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002020%4 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.52937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under56c312$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7237452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under53c308.45$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4813351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Over75c304$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7615156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under49c295.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.64,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8612763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca09…5e81backed Over69c289.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.855660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Under55c255.19$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6236543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under56c253$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.613,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over76c247.39$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3727255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under59c240$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.042,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.128258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa077…f656backed Over67c236.43$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ba…e2b1backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2712646.8%59 W · 67 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under61c223$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.083,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.