TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: France O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under0c25,731$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.218,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over67c24,567$16,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,191.6623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under34c18,437$6,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,335.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over69c15,281$10,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,792.632,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under29c15,000$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,349.9538026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under31c9,624$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.4465737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under13c9,406$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.574,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c6,331$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.32,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c5,708$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.254,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under34c3,781$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.382,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under22c3,678$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.962,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over68c2,019$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.427844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2207…ba56backed Over64c1,985$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.452770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over69c1,728$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.661,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Under36c1,648$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.43525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under34c1,627$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.062,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under31c1,549$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.284,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked Over64c1,543$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.416741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over65c1,541$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.0325228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2830465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.573754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe87f…eb3ebacked Over71c1,393$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.953253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ca…1cefbacked Over73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.862642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under33c1,305$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.983,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ce…d417backed Under38c1,232$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4683554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c1,229$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.683,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under32c1,202$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.0395037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1956…9dd6backed Over71c1,199$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.031070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under31c1,173$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.651,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Over72c1,111$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.113452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34ab…840ebacked Over65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over71c958.24$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.248652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over65c903.88$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.368156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over70c861.29$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.752,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over71c857.18$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.158048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over64c837.34$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.447560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Over64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2514347.6%68 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under32c766.23$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.471,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Over65c762.43$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.446749.3%33 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2716136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under29c720$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.846546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under34c681.63$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.691,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Over63c579.03$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9734751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a8b…6f0bbacked Over64c548.08$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.774776.6%36 W · 11 L+7.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+33.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x17bf…6731backed Over68c530$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.68544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over70c508.86$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6629636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over69c500.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2514440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a87…2500backed Under35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under32c489.93$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.911,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Over64c464.06$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.066950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under37c434.61$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.442,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd996…ce40backed Over69c427.41$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under33c426.85$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.133,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under31c386.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.362,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd6…c2b8backed Under32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x560e…3cc9backed Over72c321.94$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.144100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+281.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over64c317$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1267354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under31c287.1$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8910042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over65c281.53$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.051,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Over70c280.03$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0110754.2%58 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4888…08c0backed Over73c270.41$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.015257.7%30 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over66c256.43$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.761,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fbd…2a3fbacked Over71c254$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.66875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3866…a556backed Over70c225.63$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.69366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Over72c222.22$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2210354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…822abacked Over70c213.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.286331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660f…ec30backed Over72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565565.5%36 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7015054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over71c194.37$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3717459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under30c171.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5173234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Under31c160$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2518158.6%106 W · 75 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Over69c145.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.497832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9314351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8516750.9%85 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f3…3b59backed Over70c139.03$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7115456.5%87 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8943246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x944f…0da6backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8913862.3%86 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb39a…abedbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.996648.5%32 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3314866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under36c116.02$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7742853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over71c112.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6835251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over70c106.19$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8615667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over72c104.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2210156.4%57 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1799…ecffbacked Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368567.1%57 W · 28 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611841.5%49 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Under29c98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4210335.9%37 W · 66 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under32c84.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.061,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc47…daacbacked Over65c83.31$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under34c81.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6878559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under36c79.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.941,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972d…b581backed Over64c76.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.515955.9%33 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under19c73.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58cf…6b6fbacked Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.438562.4%53 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x428b…4f48backed Over72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.612663.5%80 W · 46 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Over64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.217432.8%57 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x570b…0bfebacked Over72c69.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.483476.5%26 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.