Golf · resolved market
Will Bryson complete the Hole in 1 Challenge by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e8e6ae18e064e35596311a3516a096e8f22e87ab731dcc4644e5d882f543c5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 60c | 9,944$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 2c | 7,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked No | 2c | 3,358$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed No | 69c | 2,042$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…dc57backed No | 71c | 1,037$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 68c | 974.59$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 69c | 900$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 36c | 898.92$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 71c | 801.14$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31c…7830backed No | 76c | 801.12$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 28c | 784.58$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 33c | 542.08$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…5e71backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed No | 72c | 440$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 67c | 373.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…4dd9backed Yes | 30c | 329.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1d27backed No | 72c | 287.51$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 67c | 255$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 41c | 250$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…4932backed Yes | 42c | 207.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 30c | 169.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…55a0backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…f57dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 29c | 104.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 32c | 84.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +207.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…0febbacked No | 72c | 69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…53e4backed Yes | 31c | 68.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…0423backed Yes | 31c | 65.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…0f41backed Yes | 30c | 63.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…15fbbacked No | 72c | 63.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9c…f335backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…a1dcbacked No | 71c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…0b22backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…19d1backed No | 71c | 46.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…bbd0backed Yes | 64c | 31.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e0e0backed No | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…c0f2backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x638f…c4ecbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…1395backed No | 70c | 18.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked No | 70c | 14.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.