TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

OpenAI browser by September 30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$371,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes30c41,265$12,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,183.125554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes22c22,507$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.296737.3%25 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9698…76d9backed Yes4c12,540$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8740…490dbacked Yes34c11,234$3,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,805.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1773…f4e3backed Yes28c10,765$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.721631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc158…f3cabacked No69c8,385$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d01…8064backed Yes23c7,216$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe92…4dbfbacked No74c6,787$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No61c6,534$3,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.028864.8%57 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87a8…ff2dbacked Yes33c5,777$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.770%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes18c5,200$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa198…106abacked No64c5,200$3,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed No71c5,079$3,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc451…2609backed Yes33c4,759$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.052466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+60.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb6fd…5b80backed No80c4,500$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No76c4,459$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.345738.9%178 W · 279 L-31.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfceb…37dabacked No65c4,127$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.571030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,997$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.171,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0766…73f4backed No69c3,554$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf44d…60afbacked No67c3,300$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.411442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes18c3,281$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.16486.3%3 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-76.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98a3…973abacked No67c2,779$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No73c2,570$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.7710338.8%40 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b3…eeb2backed No74c2,560$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.881921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-68.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d5d…91d8backed No72c2,405$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes13c2,347$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7457426.8%154 W · 420 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc2…98a6backed No74c2,242$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…6387backed No68c2,051$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.471338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+49.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf0…8783backed No74c2,000$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1838…5903backed No66c1,982$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Yes1c1,866$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.481631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2d…0f98backed No61c1,647$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23a…10ecbacked No74c1,594$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x357f…aee2backed No69c1,500$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac1…1316backed No79c1,500$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3102100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7322…d2a8backed No69c1,450$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ff…d150backed No69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabf…c681backed No71c1,417$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.76520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-71.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No74c1,393$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.6147938%182 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2263…4e26backed No77c1,361$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.141020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-72.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d9e…716ebacked No68c1,200$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…8e58backed No70c1,027$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Yes9c1,000$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.971735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-44.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d13…a018backed No61c999$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e45…3662backed No69c943.81$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.392268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aec…8274backed Yes27c929.64$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes19c899.4$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.76627.3%18 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+112.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3000…0d25backed No70c887.37$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.371250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No61c850$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.8212636.5%46 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No67c837.32$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.274228.6%12 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f07…b0d3backed No75c797.3$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb4…f8dabacked No75c794.31$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.331060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4989…50d1backed No64c779.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes25c777$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.388220.7%17 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked No61c747.1$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.373633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes3c743.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0426312.9%34 W · 229 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3141…cc7abacked No69c712.2$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdba5…8d60backed No78c699.19$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No76c691.84$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9125731.5%81 W · 176 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Yes30c636.83$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.773534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+72.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf575…1602backed No79c636.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…541dbacked Yes38c629.11$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d6…0fdabacked No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2282454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes37c582.68$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.34050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e9…0941backed No78c563.62$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes25c562.21$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.345735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x935d…08ffbacked Yes28c560.96$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.781118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes27c555$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.284619.6%9 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e1f…ba52backed No78c549.61$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked No74c513.3$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.462548%12 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Yes33c477.85$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.691154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceac…fa1fbacked No62c474.35$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes34c462.41$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2372935.5%259 W · 470 L-57.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b92…42e6backed No62c450$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.51650%8 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2654…c2b2backed No71c446.52$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed No65c430$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.822347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked No72c414.05$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.295060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x588c…1bf4backed No69c411.72$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.163339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d0…7f0fbacked No68c410$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed No74c400$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa84…e985backed No65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402339.1%9 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked No62c324.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.332646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…0b03backed No74c322.29$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes6c301$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.063231.3%10 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf547…9ebbbacked Yes40c300$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-56%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765b…1a00backed No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9483…ed38backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed No62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1149725.8%25 W · 72 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7268…614abacked No75c300$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1955…aef1backed No60c297.7$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.421643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+166.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes40c297.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-73.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1739…1263backed No68c294$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.081250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d2…6305backed No69c289.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed No68c279.69$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ee4…2ba8backed No59c263.92$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e3…8632backed No67c250.24$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1b…1419backed No75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.56336.5%23 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b85…6ee7backed No77c227.21$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9711100%11 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe870…6bf8backed Yes48c211.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd7…b90fbacked No75c211.11$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.781225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.