Earnings · resolved market
Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ad41621ac40b27e84b3e8778bc9f73f26171b3321c5dc43e626169b72a670d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509f…dbdabacked Yes | 0c | 7,914$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 6,607$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 473 | 38.5%182 W · 291 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed Yes | 6c | 3,592$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.51 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 5c | 2,492$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 29c | 1,441$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.95 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x731a…04bdbacked Yes | 64c | 1,373$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,047$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 9c | 889.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed No | 78c | 868.73$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 19c | 761$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…52d3backed Yes | 2c | 738.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 19c | 675.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 332 | 25%83 W · 249 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…8b11backed Yes | 28c | 594.21$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked Yes | 6c | 585.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 75c | 584.91$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…7e63backed Yes | 26c | 566.22$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed Yes | 25c | 557.88$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 72c | 549.19$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed Yes | 18c | 450$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8598…199fbacked Yes | 21c | 423.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 20c | 389.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…f9aebacked Yes | 25c | 389$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25b…dd82backed Yes | 22c | 386.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 46c | 384.03$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.73 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xface…9d17backed Yes | 22c | 362.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 29c | 342.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 16c | 340$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 79c | 321.14$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 58c | 300$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…9306backed Yes | 27c | 299.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5251…3da9backed Yes | 21c | 236.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +313.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…11a4backed Yes | 35c | 227.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…b3cbbacked Yes | 6c | 202.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 185.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 17c | 176$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 19c | 155.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 33c | 153.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…2e68backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…adcabacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…8fa9backed No | 71c | 149.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked No | 71c | 140.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 70cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 71c | 140$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed No | 75c | 132.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…b65cbacked Yes | 22c | 119.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +175.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…97b8backed Yes | 24c | 118.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 31c | 113.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed No | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 26c | 104.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d21…df94backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b9…1f3abacked Yes | 28c | 96.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed Yes | 23c | 86.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 24c | 84.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked No | 74c | 67.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…5845backed Yes | 16c | 66.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc2…687ebacked No | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…7413backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 79cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 27c | 59.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…efb3backed Yes | 48c | 58.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa978…01f6backed Yes | 18c | 57.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d15…156abacked Yes | 23c | 55.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 19c | 52.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e7…a893backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 79c | 48.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…aa5cbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b17…aa89backed Yes | 27c | 43.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 23c | 42.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 40c | 40.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0264…91acbacked Yes | 29c | 38.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…4dd9backed No | 59c | 35.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked No | 78c | 32.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…d426backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…75dabacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3029…0ab1backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc4…0dd1backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d9…8169backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684a…398fbacked No | 78c | 18.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.