TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,863,283
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,046,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,863,283 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 776 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes42c82,873$34,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,939.73248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6978…08d8backed No69c65,716$45,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,112.31060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc89b…f512backed Yes2c40,814$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes30c39,021$11,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,632.152544%11 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed Yes19c38,329$7,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,125.24231%13 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5239…64a4backed Yes13c38,085$4,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c9a…5f72backed Yes20c32,780$6,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,416.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6402…2fa1backed Yes11c32,429$3,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,556.3643.1%2 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-72.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c5d…0b1abacked Yes12c32,036$3,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.11100%0 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b7…12b9backed No57c30,221$17,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,900.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b7…df07backed Yes4c25,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-73.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x901c…2d73backed Yes19c25,000$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,750616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-68.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79e7…a402backed Yes15c22,232$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33330%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa17e…e59fbacked Yes2c21,432$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5bb…a429backed No61c20,558$12,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,019.354151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x769f…7b86backed Yes21c20,439$4,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,367.470%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x464e…1a67backed No63c19,506$12,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,290.321050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x877f…7acbbacked No63c19,300$12,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0531580%12 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No54c18,585$10,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,473.411580%12 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+30.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x9fa6…a41cbacked Yes20c17,600$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4bd…d732backed Yes27c17,204$4,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,58610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7e…23ebbacked No72c16,806$12,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,743.022391.3%21 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick69cpaid+31.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc456…8996backed No71c15,908$11,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,570.33751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe065…c56bbacked Yes23c15,864$3,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,585.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No78c15,603$12,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,417.4413053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x173f…69b0backed No76c15,511$11,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.814100%14 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e39…a3b2backed Yes12c15,023$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9360…03e6backed Yes9c14,537$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7032…6a92backed Yes41c12,122$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.491241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No58c12,003$7,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.9912025%30 W · 90 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5024…2a7cbacked Yes38c11,600$4,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Yes0c11,399$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-65.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc79b…b9eebacked No79c11,100$8,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x259e…6998backed Yes34c10,308$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,481.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed Yes18c10,300$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.862814.3%4 W · 24 L-8.6wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-72.6%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xa9ba…835abacked Yes40c10,086$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c10,073$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.386728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe047…e509backed No79c10,027$7,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b2…865ebacked Yes18c9,711$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes18c9,184$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660287.1%2 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-85.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8de0…87a0backed Yes21c8,916$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c8,800$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.14163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes17c7,708$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.782123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172e…21d6backed Yes1c7,590$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-61.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fda…01d5backed No58c7,335$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,105.662470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes11c6,952$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7701533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+110%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked No78c6,927$5,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.52837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x901b…8686backed No79c6,908$5,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae9d…abe7backed Yes25c6,897$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.17633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x035c…a779backed No78c6,415$5,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c0…dcf4backed No78c6,353$4,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d2…90abbacked No80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b8…2c1fbacked No57c6,178$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,653.666642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8315…55cfbacked No80c6,150$4,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2301100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a9…abdfbacked Yes16c6,129$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf626…f9f0backed Yes5c6,095$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f61…e259backed No80c5,965$4,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ff…0ff6backed No80c5,750$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1809…018fbacked No80c5,700$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed No57c5,688$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.233023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes29c5,604$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9440%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefca…b420backed Yes14c5,574$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.9350%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked No70c5,500$3,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6354100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57c0…0884backed No48c5,200$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,687.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d618backed No78c5,120$4,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Yes52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0819…a6c4backed Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ea…edd9backed No75c4,997$3,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x449a…68a4backed No61c4,865$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfef2…1470backed Yes27c4,862$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30060%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes0c4,796$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-89.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x609e…a64fbacked Yes4c4,789$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb369…c4c6backed Yes8c4,762$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3368…02a7backed No48c4,700$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c4,673$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.381,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes53c4,653$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,464.233865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce7b…7677backed Yes20c4,606$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.064617.4%8 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c5…2f2fbacked No62c4,500$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc3…73d1backed No67c4,500$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.981968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes22c4,494$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.85714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-50.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd46…58a6backed No80c4,491$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Yes7c4,485$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.781643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick29cpaid-16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c83…0f55backed No50c4,291$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.561020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-61.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes2c4,193$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.111431.4%2 W · 141 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7b…55bebacked Yes4c4,162$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4590%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1779…4822backed No75c4,100$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.446100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f87…f277backed No73c3,957$2,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dfa…af8fbacked Yes39c3,875$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba73…ab9abacked Yes27c3,809$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf241…e911backed No62c3,800$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf77…b5e8backed Yes6c3,774$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked No68c3,729$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.455869%40 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x297a…3c75backed Yes6c3,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfc…83ebbacked Yes21c3,447$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…bbdbbacked No65c3,390$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa899…afe9backed No62c3,300$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04be…a080backed Yes12c3,257$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.5430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes20c3,206$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.49333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e27…c6bebacked Yes38c3,151$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5cf…ba65backed Yes33c3,128$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.