Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d309397ac041ab49115413f4a3fa42345109c82fb0607590a21f8279ec22179
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,193,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,501,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,193,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 616 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 28c | 351,301$99,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,281.33 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…df07backed Yes | 2c | 112,769$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked No | 72c | 92,266$66,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,685.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed No | 76c | 82,612$62,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,845.81 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…835abacked Yes | 13c | 72,143$9,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,235.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 5c | 69,127$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675.92 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…32a0backed Yes | 21c | 61,776$13,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,265.88 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…1af2backed Yes | 21c | 56,926$12,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,219.43 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 26c | 56,604$14,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,663.86 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…7b86backed Yes | 5c | 55,988$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 4c | 53,792$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.3 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…851cbacked No | 71c | 50,365$35,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,798.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00e…84aabacked No | 71c | 46,710$33,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,545.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…8d3ebacked No | 77c | 45,639$34,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,692.27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked No | 78c | 37,258$29,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,018.34 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…edd6backed Yes | 20c | 32,674$6,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,682.51 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 6c | 31,809$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.32 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…68cabacked No | 80c | 30,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…03e6backed Yes | 5c | 29,196$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…66a3backed Yes | 16c | 25,790$4,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,126.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…fda5backed Yes | 7c | 24,848$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.39 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 20c | 24,093$4,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.57 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525d…fa24backed Yes | 21c | 23,880$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,958.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…df12backed No | 75c | 23,398$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,798.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…c6abbacked Yes | 20c | 23,082$4,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…4287backed Yes | 8c | 19,023$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 3c | 17,699$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…7ee2backed No | 71c | 17,444$12,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…4822backed No | 73c | 16,573$12,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.51 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a9…abdfbacked Yes | 6c | 16,452$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…0986backed Yes | 4c | 16,222$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.85 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef2…1470backed Yes | 7c | 14,667$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…384fbacked Yes | 29c | 14,347$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e3…bf65backed Yes | 17c | 13,257$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 75c | 12,099$9,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.65 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a8…6721backed Yes | 9c | 12,035$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…ab9abacked Yes | 9c | 11,747$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 28c | 11,662$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.58 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 11,655$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.33 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 10,363$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.79 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…95e6backed No | 64c | 10,112$6,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…1148backed Yes | 36c | 10,058$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…eb56backed No | 78c | 9,795$7,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0061…548ebacked Yes | 22c | 9,746$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x836a…7581backed Yes | 3c | 9,638$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…ffa9backed Yes | 7c | 9,549$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked No | 73c | 9,531$6,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d41…23d9backed Yes | 3c | 9,438$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No | 65c | 9,177$5,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.52 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 3c | 8,981$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.86 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…8bfdbacked Yes | 19c | 8,847$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…31e2backed Yes | 8c | 8,429$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…9a5ebacked Yes | 24c | 8,424$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…7620backed Yes | 7c | 8,176$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…75d2backed Yes | 9c | 8,132$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 76c | 7,672$5,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.48 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 22c | 7,276$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.71 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 6c | 7,161$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…440ebacked No | 75c | 7,117$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…fcdebacked Yes | 12c | 7,097$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…dc09backed Yes | 6c | 7,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1352…4da4backed Yes | 17c | 6,992$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04be…a080backed Yes | 5c | 6,730$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…59b2backed No | 69c | 6,665$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 70c | 6,518$4,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.31 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4e…91cdbacked Yes | 32c | 6,156$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…c4c6backed Yes | 2c | 5,851$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b58…5c57backed Yes | 6c | 5,767$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…073fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,731$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 64c | 5,695$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…a46cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,496$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed No | 79c | 5,363$4,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…8497backed Yes | 9c | 5,286$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…aceabacked Yes | 3c | 5,083$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed No | 79c | 4,782$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…f3cebacked Yes | 11c | 4,776$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.84 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…da0abacked Yes | 4c | 4,679$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…9878backed No | 71c | 4,600$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9faf…6efbbacked Yes | 0c | 4,402$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…a96cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,391$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.48 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…5a12backed No | 64c | 4,278$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…6f14backed Yes | 2c | 4,174$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 73c | 4,131$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.35 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4c…16f8backed Yes | 5c | 4,111$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…2251backed No | 76c | 4,041$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…6a92backed Yes | 16c | 3,979$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…2194backed Yes | 29c | 3,941$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,866$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259e…6998backed Yes | 8c | 3,812$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 12c | 3,796$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.54 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…81fabacked Yes | 34c | 3,783$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Yes | 27c | 3,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…6193backed Yes | 5c | 3,587$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 71c | 3,547$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…d940backed No | 70c | 3,500$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…e59fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,497$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 3,333$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.64 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5c09backed Yes | 10c | 3,319$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $55 in 2025?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.