Movies · resolved market
Will 'Sonic 3' gross more than $80m on 3-day opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b249d906ea21e96c92ff64230190da86e3fa0830b517ac58471b4e0f5a2c7c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 62c | 35,378$22,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,079.71 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,074$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 11,359$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.91 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,198$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 27c | 9,457$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.4 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 36c | 7,522$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.22 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked No | 50c | 4,129$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.97 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed Yes | 41c | 3,856$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.49 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,778$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.83 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…98aebacked Yes | 54c | 3,056$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.24 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 44c | 2,954$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.65 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…6a0dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,481$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes | 1c | 2,438$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 19c | 2,342$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed No | 48c | 2,275$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.16 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 68c | 2,085$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.18 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,918$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.02 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 77c | 1,893$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…eff0backed Yes | 2c | 1,754$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 47c | 1,745$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.21 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…8070backed Yes | 12c | 1,594$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Yes | 66c | 1,506$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked Yes | 17c | 1,410$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,369$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.24 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 56c | 1,325$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.69 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Yes | 46c | 1,273$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…2acbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,197$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 61c | 1,159$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.59 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed No | 46c | 1,144$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 8c | 1,117$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…77debacked Yes | 1c | 1,116$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 50c | 1,031$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.7 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 27c | 990.78$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.75 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f5…5b68backed Yes | 3c | 968.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 30c | 849.96$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.56 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 36c | 799.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 738.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 42c | 630.22$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.41 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…810abacked Yes | 55c | 629.95$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.77 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 46c | 590.76$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.28 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked Yes | 8c | 549.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 61c | 546.43$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 8c | 515.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…f167backed Yes | 57c | 492.54$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 39c | 475.36$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.01 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a3…6b77backed Yes | 23c | 470.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed No | 22c | 458.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.33 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…00c7backed No | 58c | 450$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed Yes | 71c | 400$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecf…c70bbacked Yes | 18c | 398.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked No | 27c | 392.52$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.54 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…c475backed Yes | 24c | 341.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 31c | 337.27$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…bf6fbacked Yes | 50c | 330.04$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed Yes | 76c | 313.17$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.6wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe608…0c2cbacked Yes | 28c | 298$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 80c | 294.11$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.09 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Yes | 59c | 290.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 64c | 280.25$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe135…7f76backed Yes | 59c | 255.9$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…8685backed Yes | 58c | 253.33$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 21c | 208.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 71c | 190.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c705backed Yes | 8c | 187.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…e621backed Yes | 7c | 174.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…8322backed Yes | 32c | 173.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 52c | 172.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Yes | 39c | 155.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed Yes | 42c | 151.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…2719backed No | 25c | 143.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Yes | 11c | 141.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x990c…492abacked Yes | 51c | 139.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…fb4cbacked Yes | 55c | 135.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…29e8backed No | 51c | 120.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 22c | 114.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b84…bae0backed No | 27c | 112.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +215.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…f23fbacked No | 47c | 107.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…d6c0backed No | 47c | 101.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c5…18acbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…6d52backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…df7abacked No | 29c | 98.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 22c | 96.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213d…028dbacked No | 49c | 95.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…70fcbacked Yes | 55c | 95.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdadf…5176backed Yes | 55c | 90.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 44c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…e1d1backed Yes | 42c | 88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21e…6337backed No | 72c | 87.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…a2c2backed No | 61c | 81.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 78.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad7…81debacked Yes | 42c | 78.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf659…1cfbbacked Yes | 33c | 78.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…ec72backed Yes | 57c | 76.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…c697backed Yes | 41c | 74.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x872d…803fbacked No | 61c | 73.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b9…7481backed Yes | 41c | 73.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross more than $80m on 3-day opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $56-64m on 3-day opening weekend?Yes won
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $72-80m on 3-day opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross less than $56m on 3-day opening weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.