Movies · resolved market
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $56-64m on 3-day opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3aa69a5c84bb794c59b2caf0d2e9e2208cc06a6e8d59c827a987925b6f72ed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $646,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $792,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $646,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 30c | 26,656$7,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,915.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 48c | 22,633$10,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,825.46 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed Yes | 66c | 22,245$14,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.28 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes | 8c | 16,717$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,461.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 21c | 16,014$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.09 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…baefbacked Yes | 53c | 12,246$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,765.39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Yes | 15c | 10,137$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,611.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes | 13c | 8,607$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,468.68 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 63c | 6,850$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.18 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 48c | 6,816$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.51 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…a1f0backed Yes | 9c | 5,735$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200.28 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 10c | 5,646$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.84 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes | 76c | 5,457$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed No | 2c | 5,080$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked Yes | 11c | 5,022$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,459.32 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 50c | 5,000$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…bbfabacked No | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 6c | 4,806$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,508.77 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Yes | 48c | 4,587$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.8 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 73c | 4,260$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.55 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 12c | 4,116$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.59 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…4a91backed No | 29c | 3,420$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 19c | 3,084$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.58 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 30c | 3,068$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.91 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked No | 0c | 3,036$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 54c | 2,934$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.8 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 30c | 2,906$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.98 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed Yes | 49c | 2,857$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.92 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 72c | 2,854$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.88 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed Yes | 36c | 2,529$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked No | 28c | 2,360$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes | 4c | 1,965$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.77 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb038…70a7backed No | 1c | 1,942$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…2acbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,420$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.33 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…98aebacked Yes | 31c | 1,408$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.73 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 37c | 1,357$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.22 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 4c | 1,249$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.38 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…c7c8backed Yes | 41c | 1,207$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked No | 26c | 1,180$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…4f7fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,163$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,080$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.35 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed No | 23c | 926.64$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 31c | 900$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 2c | 896.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.6 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…6087backed No | 24c | 817$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 787.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.33 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…eccabacked Yes | 5c | 700$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e98fbacked Yes | 17c | 664$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.03 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f5…5b68backed Yes | 3c | 647.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.73 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 31c | 601.83$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.98 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Yes | 5c | 556.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +425.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 45c | 495.14$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.73 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d3…4e5ebacked Yes | 4c | 414.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +190%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked Yes | 31c | 400$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 49c | 397.01$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.78 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…0c0bbacked Yes | 76c | 395.08$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…f67bbacked Yes | 68c | 374.62$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 50c | 309.18$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.32 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 33c | 304.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.54 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b84…bae0backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +215.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 30c | 296.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 15c | 219.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 12c | 209.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.55 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked Yes | 18c | 192.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c705backed Yes | 39c | 190.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…810abacked Yes | 34c | 178.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 73c | 163.75$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…6502backed No | 26c | 154.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…e621backed No | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…aab9backed Yes | 74c | 135.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 14c | 132.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 30c | 126.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…2c00backed Yes | 40c | 125.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 27c | 125$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…8322backed Yes | 19c | 123.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e00…4784backed Yes | 16c | 122.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…c726backed No | 30c | 120.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…c0c6backed Yes | 71c | 115.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebbc…ad30backed Yes | 77c | 100.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…1eeebacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e4…6dfbbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed Yes | 76c | 92.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…13adbacked No | 28c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931b…d0e5backed Yes | 69c | 86.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…0527backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f0…7772backed No | 25c | 77.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…8cbbbacked No | 29c | 71.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…89a8backed Yes | 73c | 70.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…4746backed Yes | 20c | 67.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…6d43backed Yes | 71c | 66.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2730…63eebacked Yes | 49c | 60.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…6115backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…bdc2backed Yes | 74c | 49.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…017fbacked No | 35c | 48.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $56-64m on 3-day opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $72-80m on 3-day opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross less than $56m on 3-day opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross more than $80m on 3-day opening weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.