Movies · resolved market
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ba973b06865c78d6423a91f6971bff776b80f1b9b76b6f0dbdeca3f212d68a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 23c | 23,478$5,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,465.23 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed No | 71c | 22,184$15,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,394.58 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 66c | 21,785$14,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300.91 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 11c | 18,448$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.89 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 29c | 18,107$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 15,529$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.5 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed Yes | 11c | 12,371$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 4c | 10,047$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.96 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 21c | 10,000$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.67 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 24c | 9,125$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.24 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes | 44c | 7,874$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.55 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…a1f0backed Yes | 11c | 7,546$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.22 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Yes | 30c | 6,928$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…baefbacked Yes | 22c | 6,833$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 35c | 6,753$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.99 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 11c | 6,146$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.81 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 12c | 5,951$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.09 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed Yes | 15c | 5,527$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.27 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…bbfabacked Yes | 31c | 5,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 9c | 4,527$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.97 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 3c | 4,513$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 4,144$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.16 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…98aebacked Yes | 36c | 4,001$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.38 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 20c | 3,667$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.03 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…4a91backed Yes | 28c | 3,580$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 37c | 3,540$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.13 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 16c | 3,497$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.39 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 4c | 3,478$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 29c | 3,428$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.26 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd4…8853backed Yes | 2c | 3,378$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 7c | 3,120$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 28c | 2,912$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151c…5344backed Yes | 2c | 2,853$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…bbabbacked Yes | 2c | 2,777$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…c475backed Yes | 2c | 2,390$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…6087backed Yes | 9c | 2,336$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa228…fbbfbacked Yes | 13c | 2,284$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 17c | 2,125$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.65 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…1076backed Yes | 2c | 2,117$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fa…de00backed Yes | 1c | 2,057$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,925$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 4c | 1,824$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,625$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…6502backed Yes | 32c | 1,427$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes | 7c | 1,421$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…e621backed Yes | 44c | 1,359$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,283$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,269$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed Yes | 45c | 1,257$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.08 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…2acbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,193$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…a3f2backed Yes | 9c | 1,092$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…4febbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…c7c8backed Yes | 24c | 844.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Yes | 53c | 792.4$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.83 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…8685backed Yes | 35c | 681.44$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f5…5b68backed Yes | 13c | 659.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…13adbacked Yes | 23c | 644.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c705backed Yes | 32c | 631.16$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 14c | 624.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 46c | 600.12$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.97 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d3…4e5ebacked Yes | 18c | 552.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +190%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0820…7f69backed Yes | 29c | 550.21$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 2c | 527.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 57c | 500.31$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.75 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…eff0backed Yes | 42c | 478.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 18c | 471.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 6c | 468.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…810abacked Yes | 33c | 459.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.73 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 14c | 434.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 36c | 398.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Yes | 26c | 381.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed Yes | 34c | 376.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…0c0bbacked Yes | 23c | 339$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 29c | 322.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 69c | 318.24$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0917…5539backed Yes | 19c | 314.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 35c | 313.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…3ff1backed Yes | 15c | 307.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…1b4bbacked Yes | 40c | 303.71$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb692…7c83backed Yes | 30c | 300.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…3c37backed Yes | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 23c | 288.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 4c | 285.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…b4febacked Yes | 24c | 276.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…b942backed Yes | 34c | 268.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 5c | 263.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed No | 65c | 258.12$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked Yes | 42c | 244.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 33c | 242.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 27c | 208.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…eccabacked Yes | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 10c | 199.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…c556backed Yes | 15c | 199.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 35c | 192$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…7f8dbacked Yes | 42c | 175$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $56-64m on 3-day opening weekend?Yes won
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $72-80m on 3-day opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross less than $56m on 3-day opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Sonic 3' gross more than $80m on 3-day opening weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.