TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Diamondbacks, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dae…f8b2backed Diamondbacks45c16,535$7,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,447.6913352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers55c13,059$7,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,854.5448254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e51…a759backed Tigers55c5,454$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks5c5,404$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe7a…83f6backed Tigers55c4,545$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x706f…a645backed Diamondbacks45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers54c4,306$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.12,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70de…b98ebacked Diamondbacks1c3,465$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Tigers56c3,393$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.866749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5134…b00cbacked Diamondbacks45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Diamondbacks45c3,137$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.658540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers54c2,970$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.2499149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Tigers55c2,794$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.238444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x774a…98f2backed Diamondbacks45c2,220$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Diamondbacks46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Diamondbacks46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.971,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ab…27d6backed Diamondbacks45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aee…6760backed Tigers55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…b134backed Diamondbacks45c1,900$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+60.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks5c1,532$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7241747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks44c1,490$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.8171751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf637…d92ebacked Tigers55c1,309$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.05850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4356…181dbacked Diamondbacks45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-76.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x900d…a480backed Diamondbacks45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7920…74bdbacked Tigers55c1,107$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc8…e22fbacked Diamondbacks45c1,104$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa67d…9a7dbacked Diamondbacks45c1,096$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9011…311cbacked Tigers55c1,093$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.856100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x691d…2086backed Tigers55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4976…bea2backed Tigers55c1,073$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.85650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2313…3ee6backed Diamondbacks39c1,009$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3905145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Diamondbacks37c999.08$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5112037.5%45 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d6…9528backed Tigers55c982$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e9…0b33backed Tigers55c927$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0a…f43abacked Tigers55c918$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Diamondbacks44c706.98$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0724547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Diamondbacks45c666$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.77548%36 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb865…041bbacked Tigers55c644.65$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5d5…fc86backed Diamondbacks46c639.13$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Tigers55c596.6$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4724253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa452…d1efbacked Tigers77c594.43$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.152661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks2c550$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c0…32f4backed Diamondbacks45c499.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Diamondbacks9c464.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9643946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Tigers54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.966753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Tigers55c459.9$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9510550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Tigers68c450.34$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8623060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Diamondbacks44c449.96$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9857551.7%297 W · 278 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers56c399$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5651953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbff1…3f4fbacked Tigers55c385.87$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.645834.5%20 W · 38 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea6f…dd06backed Tigers79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.751172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef69…a854backed Tigers55c364.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.864461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Tigers56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1463052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb2…01b4backed Diamondbacks45c355.56$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Tigers58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8322546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ad…0bbcbacked Diamondbacks45c340$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks45c300.21$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.961,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c6…4cc5backed Diamondbacks45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b3…fd35backed Diamondbacks45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks45c299.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks46c282.61$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Diamondbacks45c265$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.251,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e8…32b3backed Diamondbacks45c250$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Diamondbacks42c246.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5430850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks45c231$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.951,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Diamondbacks45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9220…4dd9backed Diamondbacks46c218$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Tigers56c212.49$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Tigers58c212.38$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2680680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks46c211.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.251,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fdd…0661backed Diamondbacks50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks12c205.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.589,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cca…a0bebacked Tigers50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0c2…0705backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5070…0039backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafbd…67aebacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…06b5backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3601…43dfbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Diamondbacks45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f4…8894backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf46…d661backed Diamondbacks45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…4508backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a1…8065backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5018…d3eabacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc79…3e8dbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a04…bdf5backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb76…d412backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99e1…51d0backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d35…0700backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9fd…0d4bbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8974…3468backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e1…7207backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903959%23 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4858…0e39backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903850%19 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf372…d63dbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x133c…9c2fbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904050%20 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e0…4847backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d4…9d72backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.