TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,417,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,461,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,417,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 717 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c167,760$83,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,418.344,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over33c90,911$29,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,347.4414248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under74c83,244$61,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,474.937331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under68c46,455$31,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,589.3925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Under71c41,162$29,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,30010057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under39c40,370$15,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,724.5527039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under39c39,560$15,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,604.831,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under68c35,871$24,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,302.2574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under36c27,650$9,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,853.5525942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under53c22,979$12,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,178.9317550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c20,142$9,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,768.673,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over48c18,654$8,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,793.3142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over54c18,292$9,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,452.8639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over45c17,865$8,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,843.192,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under29c16,207$4,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,733.2344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under34c15,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10026447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.994431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over48c14,867$7,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,779.3777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda22…61d0backed Over35c14,165$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,164.967945.6%36 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Under44c14,058$6,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,126.073865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6322…0c4abacked Under71c13,972$9,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,896.49540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c12,929$4,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,313.098,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Under78c12,755$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00014351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under70c12,310$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.9120731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over33c11,673$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,796.352,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4543…72d1backed Over61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under62c9,714$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over29c9,469$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,723.0945428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over32c8,550$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,81459230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over47c8,356$3,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,414.9249441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under69c8,120$5,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,569.911,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under71c7,500$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.9886452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under55c7,085$3,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,896.5714232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over39c6,797$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,155.071,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over53c6,281$3,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under51c5,500$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80531152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under70c5,497$3,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,836.272,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under38c5,080$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.0310441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under63c4,633$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.7258926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under53c4,567$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.593554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Under24c4,067$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98614725.9%38 W · 109 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over44c4,025$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.9640649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Over32c4,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7205538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91f…59ddbacked Under72c3,750$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over27c3,707$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.091,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under35c3,516$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.862,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under39c3,508$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.879243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c3,506$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.972,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over29c3,500$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,48530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Over57c3,300$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40915147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under1c3,299$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.818672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12532739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Under73c3,000$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18014242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under52c2,955$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.679525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over42c2,839$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over28c2,788$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.0215141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over33c2,740$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb341…bb28backed Under52c2,731$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.431127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over33c2,727$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.2728526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over30c2,629$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.3129138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under65c2,543$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.9215648.1%75 W · 81 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under55c2,540$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40027951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under63c2,529$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.812,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Under72c2,500$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9833235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over58c2,445$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.9723857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Over43c2,406$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.5813550.4%68 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under67c2,400$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60613548.9%66 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over43c2,227$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.121,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under1c2,200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2226647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc63e…e611backed Over32c2,200$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.834238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over63c2,152$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.8237223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under62c2,101$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.081,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over29c2,050$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.220844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa990…dc90backed Over45c2,029$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.424463.6%28 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over49c2,001$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.631232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Under70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Under39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7805545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over53c2,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.0528337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.9810146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under39c1,998$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.9219744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over45c1,949$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.951,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over54c1,811$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.812,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Over48c1,800$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.9913837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over69c1,741$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.7136539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d66…6c79backed Under53c1,737$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.434136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over41c1,730$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.067153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x74ba…9ac0backed Over28c1,684$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.384850%24 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Under70c1,539$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.8334751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over32c1,511$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.871,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee9…9bccbacked Over32c1,496$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.4911538.3%44 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over59c1,436$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.4738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b8…8e9fbacked Over28c1,370$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.353956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over28c1,322$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.1716943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Under38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over38c1,315$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.32,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over61c1,285$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.3137242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over60c1,268$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.814,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.