TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Algeriaof Austria, Algeria
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$395,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$344,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Austria20c53,750$10,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,609.282,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Austria4c20,695$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.83026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Austria5c17,922$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.13935.9%14 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+97.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Austria8c12,493$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.45236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Austria11c9,929$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.1632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Austria13c7,725$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.358,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Austria11c6,364$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e35…79fbbacked Austria8c6,287$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.93140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Austria8c6,254$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.291,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c3…95b7backed Austria10c6,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Austria2c4,868$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.211,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Austria11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4403842.1%16 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Austria23c3,570$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.9541968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Austria10c3,484$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.522,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Austria14c3,480$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007824.4%19 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Austria6c2,210$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Austria8c2,149$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.072,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…849bbacked Austria11c2,017$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.854626.1%12 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Austria9c1,822$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16411346%52 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Austria26c1,800$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46837944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Austria12c1,627$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014528.3%41 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe8…67d4backed Austria12c1,604$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4810230.4%31 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Austria16c1,529$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.112,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Algeria76c1,495$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.877865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fab…dfd8backed Austria11c1,153$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.871118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1e44backed Austria10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed Austria10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Austria10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Austria10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Austria12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032647.9%156 W · 170 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbe…776dbacked Austria10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007222.2%16 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-40.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Austria12c999.84$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9833548.4%162 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2a…4fd0backed Austria10c916$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.62245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Austria11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020626.2%54 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Austria22c900$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19814454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Austria12c899.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Austria9c842.4$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.822,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aae…91c6backed Austria12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029141.6%121 W · 170 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Austria13c792.86$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.574,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Austria5c706.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.192,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Austria14c585.02$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0737237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Austria8c564.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7218628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Austria10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Algeria79c500$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Austria12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Austria11c452.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed Austria12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4815034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1348…3dc2backed Austria10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403941%16 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Austria11c399.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.671939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Austria13c390$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Austria27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Austria9c344.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.352,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Austria28c317.85$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8925251.2%129 W · 123 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Austria11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335149%25 W · 26 L+13.7wins+0.27per pick22cpaid+416.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Austria10c280$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2827940.5%113 W · 166 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Austria12c275$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3321048.1%101 W · 109 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Austria19c275$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2516725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Austria11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015947.2%75 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Austria15c266.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0548937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x400c…bc73backed Austria10c236.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Austria9c233.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0573234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Austria11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256053.3%32 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Austria9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa443…dc9bbacked Austria10c214$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.45843.1%25 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Austria8c211$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8825741.6%107 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1627…9bcabacked Austria12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Algeria69c204.1$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.271,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd4c…b7e4backed Austria10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-80.8%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xe584…a7fcbacked Austria10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011823.7%28 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Austria11c199.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.931,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f4…b06ebacked Austria14c193.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Austria10c192.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.983,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256c…fef0backed Austria10c184$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.46048.3%29 W · 31 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Austria10c177.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7846243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Austria17c170.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2362633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Austria6c170$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.225719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8e…ece5backed Austria11c155.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3875…cdfebacked Austria13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Austria10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Austria13c146.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1918139.2%71 W · 110 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb24…d79fbacked Algeria72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.899561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Austria11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510022%22 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc14e…3315backed Austria28c134.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.75541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Austria10c130$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1326720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa896…4819backed Austria13c129$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.771163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+43.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Austria9c125.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.345145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ed…a9f3backed Austria8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104126.8%11 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Austria11c120.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322627.9%63 W · 163 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad1…35d0backed Austria13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15478.5%4 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d0f…95eabacked Austria14c111.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Austria11c108.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9378317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d7…f41abacked Austria10c106.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4125748.6%125 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Austria24c104.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6773536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4cb…a366backed Austria10c103.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3813337.6%50 W · 83 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Algeria70c102$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.641551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfe4…dac9backed Austria10c101$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13250%16 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Austria25c100.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Austria29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8a…8f0bbacked Austria11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc6…fb06backed Austria22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229945.5%45 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.