Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f51b3bd3efc357490ffe83afaef9a54ee97542669358568e4803ef2640aa8d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Austriaof Algeria, Austria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Algeria | 9c | 48,251$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Algeria | 8c | 15,165$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.08 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Algeria | 9c | 7,850$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.5 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Algeria | 1c | 3,567$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Algeria | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…bd80backed Algeria | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…01e1backed Algeria | 9c | 2,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 20%22 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…0bafbacked Algeria | 5c | 2,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Algeria | 7c | 1,248$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1e44backed Algeria | 9c | 1,222$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Algeria | 9c | 1,007$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 154 | 18.8%29 W · 125 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Algeria | 3c | 969.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Algeria | 6c | 888.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Algeria | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Algeria | 7c | 748.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…f540backed Algeria | 9c | 633.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Algeria | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Algeria | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Algeria | 7c | 393$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Algeria | 11c | 301.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Algeria | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…b4b5backed Algeria | 7c | 299.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…a686backed Algeria | 8c | 272.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Algeria | 10c | 262.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Algeria | 11c | 244$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Algeria | 11c | 239.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Algeria | 11c | 223.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Algeria | 7c | 213.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Algeria | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Algeria | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Algeria | 6c | 194.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…35d0backed Algeria | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Algeria | 9c | 162.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…d9fdbacked Algeria | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…d048backed Algeria | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Algeria | 9c | 125.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Algeria | 11c | 121.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Algeria | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff8…9cd6backed Algeria | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)this page
- Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 2.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.