TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Algeria (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Austriaof Algeria, Austria
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$277,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$377,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,488 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Algeria2c34,419$730 inLost-$730.044,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Algeria2c30,441$517 inLost-$517.513738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Algeria2c29,411$500 inLost-$499.9971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Algeria2c14,410$288 inLost-$288.212,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Algeria2c10,852$192 inLost-$191.723,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Algeria1c3,962$51 inLost-$50.741,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Algeria2c3,148$63 inLost-$62.961,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Algeria2c1,881$37 inLost-$36.691,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Algeria2c1,770$30 inLost-$30.0970750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Algeria4c1,424$60 inLost-$59.824246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Algeria2c1,274$28 inLost-$28.3411020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Algeria2c1,259$29 inLost-$29.1831149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Algeria2c1,236$23 inLost-$22.722,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Algeria2c901.96$18 inLost-$18.042,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x914e…8355backed Algeria2c774.6$16 inLost-$15.9811338.1%43 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Algeria3c611$16 inLost-$16.42,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Algeria2c549.14$12 inLost-$121,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55c8…b64bbacked Algeria3c535.3$14 inLost-$13.977745.5%35 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Algeria2c500$10 inLost-$101,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.