Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dbff56fcce4c395a29ad2f7392d7b2e83a5a71fba57cd4446b2fd6136fcdac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 18c | 10,419$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,562.71 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 26c | 9,129$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.98 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 10c | 3,847$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.6 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 30c | 2,653$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.68 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 26c | 2,585$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.47 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 51c | 1,240$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.36 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Over | 9c | 1,112$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.67 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 16c | 936.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 8c | 924.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 884.5$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.55 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 29c | 618$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.4 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 70c | 582.81$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.63 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 79c | 552.49$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.97 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 30c | 397.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.77 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Over | 28c | 355.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.87 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over | 28c | 351.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.71 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 22c | 325$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 11c | 262$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.76 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 208.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 13c | 155.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 79c | 154$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 122 | 66.4%81 W · 41 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 11c | 136.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 44c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb366…ddb7backed Over | 11c | 101$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 21cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 29c | 101$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 220 | 58.2%128 W · 92 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 27c | 93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 12c | 90.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 32c | 81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 80c | 77.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 47c | 38.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Over | 70c | 35.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 41c | 25.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…e485backed Under | 80c | 24.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 194 | 50.5%98 W · 96 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 51c | 24.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 72c | 19.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5this page
- Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Algeria O/U 2.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 4.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Over won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.