Token Launches · resolved market
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfe85a9a601009b751b088145c93d04ec33b055644a989c65c981420e345435e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed No | 49c | 18,547$9,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,386.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…139ebacked Yes | 35c | 6,866$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…c906backed No | 47c | 6,015$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…350fbacked Yes | 13c | 5,294$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 51c | 5,099$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.54 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…1af2backed Yes | 21c | 4,909$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…8908backed No | 58c | 4,607$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 57c | 4,293$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.42 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 30c | 4,291$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…6654backed No | 70c | 4,187$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…d60bbacked Yes | 75c | 4,179$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c33abacked No | 43c | 3,236$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…6ff9backed Yes | 2c | 3,184$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c81…4d55backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5706…44acbacked Yes | 3c | 2,746$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +604.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…32a0backed Yes | 23c | 2,653$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…8daabacked Yes | 22c | 2,575$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…db6abacked Yes | 77c | 2,531$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 2c | 2,530$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,520$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 43c | 2,399$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.74 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 65c | 2,267$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.28 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0f…7e61backed Yes | 42c | 2,118$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10e…d539backed Yes | 5c | 2,009$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b7…12b9backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 26c | 1,860$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…da06backed Yes | 49c | 1,850$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 60c | 1,823$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…e0dfbacked Yes | 62c | 1,481$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes | 38c | 1,366$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed No | 73c | 1,361$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed No | 75c | 1,324$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 59c | 1,263$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,243$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…6aa7backed No | 76c | 1,188$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…d4b9backed Yes | 48c | 1,155$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.72 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…3bf2backed Yes | 42c | 1,110$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0061…548ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,094$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,050$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7557…db09backed Yes | 43c | 1,026$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…6208backed Yes | 5c | 1,011$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Yes | 25c | 1,004$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…56eabacked No | 74c | 1,000$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ef…cbabbacked No | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Yes | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…9f30backed Yes | 39c | 930.1$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked Yes | 31c | 923.11$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed No | 64c | 910.64$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed Yes | 61c | 900$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…e57abacked No | 56c | 887.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 32c | 887.59$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.6 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 882.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…edd6backed Yes | 22c | 866.81$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a4…c2dabacked No | 59c | 842.48$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…bc55backed Yes | 61c | 832.55$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…5571backed No | 62c | 824.88$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked Yes | 43c | 819.53$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…5c3cbacked No | 80c | 812.62$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ec…6504backed No | 26c | 793.93$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.58 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…feebbacked No | 72c | 781.53$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Yes | 23c | 778.88$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.01 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 763.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f5…1816backed Yes | 27c | 747.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 60c | 717.54$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.22 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04be…a080backed Yes | 58c | 686.34$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…628fbacked No | 68c | 685.12$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…f7b7backed No | 15c | 670.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…7690backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…5608backed Yes | 38c | 651.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…1224backed No | 62c | 617.78$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 610$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 607.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…ab9abacked Yes | 47c | 595.79$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e95…c0a1backed No | 79c | 588.84$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 584.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…4339backed Yes | 49c | 571.89$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 3c | 571.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe377…950dbacked Yes | 33c | 563.79$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb716…f61cbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…386cbacked Yes | 5c | 550$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 4c | 545$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…2f5cbacked No | 45c | 544.54$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 539.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 539.3$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.49 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…04e2backed Yes | 26c | 538.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed No | 68c | 534.59$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 39c | 500$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea4…9d9abacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 70c | 483.32$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.32 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 482.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…2d1abacked Yes | 62c | 481.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 59c | 480.52$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.68 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Yes | 35c | 476.56$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 39c | 470.69$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 76c | 456$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 21c | 453$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 79c | 443$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96fe…2b6dbacked Yes | 42c | 427.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.69 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 37cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.