World Politics · resolved market
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66a86bed2460bb982e1a9a22d111b08bea41349423ef9e8669570e488cf96de0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,789,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,244,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,789,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 780 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3979…f49ebacked Yes | 1c | 106,337$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 105,207$6,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,491.08 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 0c | 61,125$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 5c | 58,751$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.4 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed Yes | 37c | 52,476$19,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,269.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…b5debacked Yes | 5c | 46,192$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 1c | 42,346$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.29 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…c71dbacked Yes | 2c | 37,882$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…fbbdbacked Yes | 1c | 34,495$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…62febacked Yes | 2c | 31,779$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 17c | 30,386$5,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,172.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…03f4backed Yes | 7c | 29,583$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Yes | 0c | 27,026$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Yes | 4c | 24,913$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…dfcdbacked Yes | 0c | 23,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd709…7de0backed Yes | 7c | 22,053$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…a832backed Yes | 0c | 21,841$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 2c | 21,169$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.85 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…0300backed Yes | 2c | 20,349$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c2…77d5backed Yes | 7c | 20,001$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ead…4e64backed Yes | 0c | 18,542$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 18c | 17,150$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.47 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 8c | 16,779$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.64 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…c974backed Yes | 1c | 16,743$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 5c | 15,845$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.85 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…fa36backed Yes | 11c | 15,589$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 6c | 15,114$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Yes | 1c | 15,035$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…febfbacked Yes | 17c | 14,903$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.08 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995d…bd40backed Yes | 2c | 14,689$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 2c | 13,696$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…8178backed Yes | 31c | 12,867$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…9f94backed Yes | 24c | 12,146$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 80c | 11,725$9,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712c…de39backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 68c | 10,967$7,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…fe8bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,547$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…e4b1backed Yes | 18c | 10,103$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1826…d276backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 4c | 9,537$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.96 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 29c | 9,500$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.96 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 2c | 9,235$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.82 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 69c | 8,275$5,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.18 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 13c | 7,946$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.9 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 8c | 7,700$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.53 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 79c | 7,629$6,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.15 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…dbb1backed No | 67c | 7,496$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Yes | 16c | 7,318$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 21c | 7,268$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Yes | 6c | 7,202$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f51ebacked Yes | 16c | 7,132$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed No | 76c | 7,000$5,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.6 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3d…34efbacked Yes | 24c | 6,567$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 15c | 6,559$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.83 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 16c | 6,480$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.8 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…8f61backed Yes | 10c | 6,259$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…5f41backed Yes | 19c | 6,100$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 17c | 6,010$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.01 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed No | 65c | 6,000$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.41 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 6c | 5,697$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes | 5c | 5,677$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +261.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…3584backed Yes | 25c | 5,628$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed No | 79c | 5,608$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 75c | 5,533$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.89 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 4c | 5,350$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…f624backed Yes | 28c | 5,264$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627a…cdc2backed Yes | 36c | 5,248$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…5653backed Yes | 1c | 5,181$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…7844backed Yes | 2c | 5,131$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…7292backed Yes | 6c | 5,086$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…ff9dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,992$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 4,896$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.64 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Yes | 21c | 4,891$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…fe89backed Yes | 21c | 4,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…4f44backed No | 77c | 4,692$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…83a2backed Yes | 3c | 4,692$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 75c | 4,686$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.33 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…5a37backed Yes | 9c | 4,642$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…be26backed Yes | 1c | 4,615$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 15c | 4,535$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 32cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 74c | 4,441$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.79 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked No | 70c | 4,385$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ba…6cbdbacked Yes | 3c | 4,286$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…615fbacked No | 72c | 4,178$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…5f8bbacked Yes | 17c | 4,135$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…a236backed Yes | 6c | 4,077$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…64ddbacked Yes | 11c | 4,067$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 4c | 4,034$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.56 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 7c | 3,881$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.91 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Yes | 13c | 3,870$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 80c | 3,809$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.27 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…5ed4backed Yes | 16c | 3,800$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…55d7backed Yes | 19c | 3,793$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 0c | 3,710$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53e…7bb3backed Yes | 14c | 3,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…abffbacked Yes | 2c | 3,460$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…07dfbacked No | 68c | 3,447$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Yes | 10c | 3,382$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 10c | 3,194$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.