Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1adb1d295dee6d76b63e21fad78f2d3d4b227f959b3b1d3df07cb52548cb9c78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $518,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $583,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 23c | 52,613$12,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,304.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 12c | 37,071$4,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,537.79 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 11c | 34,804$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.19 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 75c | 17,439$13,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,366.27 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 15,370$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.72 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 76c | 12,000$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…29d5backed No | 77c | 8,336$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 19c | 7,316$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 19c | 5,970$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.66 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…2a42backed No | 77c | 4,523$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…c60abacked Yes | 0c | 4,008$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed No | 74c | 3,667$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…a67dbacked No | 78c | 3,420$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 18c | 3,258$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.21 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,482$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.28 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed Yes | 26c | 2,423$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.56 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…0687backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,879$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.8 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 25c | 1,874$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.32 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 2c | 1,754$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 22c | 1,623$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.36 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 12c | 1,589$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…6474backed No | 74c | 1,517$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…3acbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,410$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.69 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 22c | 1,358$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.23 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,254$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.54 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,253$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5a…4743backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f96…746fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,243$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,200$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.31 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 26c | 1,089$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.63 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 30c | 1,013$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked No | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 18c | 998.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…c705backed Yes | 9c | 988.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 20c | 959.02$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed No | 76c | 930.19$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed No | 76c | 909.98$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 79c | 898$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.58 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…da2abacked Yes | 9c | 888.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 869.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…14e3backed Yes | 2c | 828.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes | 16c | 805.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b7…ba53backed No | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 76c | 720$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.95 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…8835backed No | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 17c | 651.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…6180backed No | 77c | 651.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 10c | 650$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…81b8backed No | 80c | 641$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…f248backed Yes | 27c | 640.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…7e0dbacked No | 74c | 638.67$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…ab6bbacked Yes | 16c | 628.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…882dbacked Yes | 22c | 625$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 18c | 606.41$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 20c | 578.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…8594backed Yes | 7c | 567.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15e…ab86backed Yes | 2c | 553.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…0367backed No | 74c | 541.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…eeb2backed No | 75c | 513.33$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…8e9bbacked No | 80c | 499.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 15c | 499.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked No | 74c | 468.4$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 465.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 464.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed Yes | 17c | 450$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 28c | 450$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…6758backed Yes | 25c | 426.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 13c | 420$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…6a60backed No | 75c | 399.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddc…63edbacked Yes | 25c | 398.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea13…b148backed No | 76c | 395.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67a…bff6backed Yes | 10c | 392.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…18b5backed No | 77c | 387.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 26c | 379.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 74c | 370$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…c098backed No | 78c | 370$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 75c | 351$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…2b2cbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271b…d4b0backed Yes | 24c | 304.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…5e6abacked No | 78c | 303$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee41…68cdbacked No | 77c | 302.66$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…35f4backed Yes | 32c | 267.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 10c | 262.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…7471backed No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 21c | 258.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 245.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 245$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…19bbbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…82b4backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 11c | 212.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.