Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc058acf026f604a16633e71a79154fbf595877465dc5aaba204a7ef8a7263b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof Trace Esports, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…5a2ebacked Trace Esports | 34c | 1,096$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dc…889bbacked Trace Esports | 34c | 907.98$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trace Esports | 11c | 897.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed EDward Gaming | 66c | 859.49$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.37 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Trace Esports | 11c | 797.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked Trace Esports | 39c | 663.72$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Trace Esports | 32c | 573.67$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…e845backed Trace Esports | 22c | 570.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Trace Esports | 5c | 549.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc7…0947backed EDward Gaming | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked EDward Gaming | 66c | 386.36$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Trace Esports | 5c | 312.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03d…0aa2backed EDward Gaming | 66c | 307$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Trace Esports | 18c | 300.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Trace Esports | 34c | 298.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…9913backed EDward Gaming | 66c | 289$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked EDward Gaming | 68c | 274$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Trace Esports | 31c | 207.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked EDward Gaming | 70c | 184.08$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…0d3bbacked Trace Esports | 35c | 181$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Trace Esports | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked EDward Gaming | 66c | 145.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Trace Esports | 30c | 136.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed EDward Gaming | 70c | 115.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed EDward Gaming | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Trace Esports | 16c | 99.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…cd58backed EDward Gaming | 65c | 96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…f1a6backed EDward Gaming | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…934fbacked Trace Esports | 16c | 69.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Trace Esports | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked EDward Gaming | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c8ccbacked Trace Esports | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked EDward Gaming | 64c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed EDward Gaming | 55c | 24.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac0…839abacked EDward Gaming | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked EDward Gaming | 80c | 16.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…9cdfbacked EDward Gaming | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO5)this page
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 3 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.