TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Natus Vincere, Vitality
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$819,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$947,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $819,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed Natus Vincere30c79,184$23,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,755.17363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Natus Vincere30c50,653$14,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,948.459942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Vitality72c37,073$26,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,495.8721051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Natus Vincere29c35,000$10,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,149.991323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-51.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Vitality71c28,169$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,169.012958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Natus Vincere30c24,000$7,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,197.9130340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere22c20,655$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,459.574,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere29c20,042$5,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,902.611,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Natus Vincere28c20,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9625842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Vitality70c19,934$13,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,980.0715050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere18c19,549$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.243,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Natus Vincere28c18,888$5,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,288.6488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality70c15,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed Vitality72c14,212$10,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,048.762259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vitality74c13,935$10,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.351,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Vitality70c12,540$8,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,76219660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere19c11,458$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.422,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Natus Vincere30c11,426$3,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,427.9415347.1%72 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere25c10,732$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.271,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed Vitality74c10,098$7,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.492972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Natus Vincere29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.9714934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Vitality71c9,676$6,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.0914441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…40e3backed Natus Vincere27c9,572$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.252544%11 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Vitality69c9,500$6,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.949234.8%32 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9027…4e9ebacked Vitality71c9,380$6,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.283557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd547…f7a8backed Vitality75c8,875$6,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.732832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Vitality70c8,608$6,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.3913954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Vitality70c8,516$5,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.7828453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Vitality70c8,258$5,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.446949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed Vitality70c8,200$5,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4604562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Vitality70c8,200$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.6617148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Natus Vincere29c8,051$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.8711758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f3d…beb0backed Vitality71c6,901$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+89.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Vitality70c6,839$4,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.710549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Vitality70c6,200$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86024846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere25c5,733$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4291,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Natus Vincere7c5,718$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.3318624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere28c5,508$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.0367041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…92febacked Natus Vincere16c5,300$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed Natus Vincere29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4503452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked Natus Vincere20c4,946$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Natus Vincere27c4,697$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.774763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Vitality71c4,512$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.8421055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Natus Vincere30c4,285$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.557647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Natus Vincere28c4,260$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.81553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Vitality71c4,225$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.3519448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ba…4e57backed Vitality72c4,169$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.827349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Vitality72c4,167$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.675644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Vitality70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20024139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb3…02bfbacked Natus Vincere21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere24c3,974$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.2961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Vitality77c3,905$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.0634147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Vitality72c3,554$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.194362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere17c3,549$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.241,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ede…e5e2backed Vitality70c3,529$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.77728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe161…4ebfbacked Natus Vincere30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Vitality70c3,333$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.9875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a1b…d1debacked Natus Vincere31c3,144$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.15520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Vitality70c3,144$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.5810252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Vitality64c3,013$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.157245.8%33 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Vitality72c2,919$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.1739239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c80…b91fbacked Vitality72c2,797$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.661060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc6…a3bcbacked Vitality75c2,657$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.061566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Vitality76c2,627$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.4361837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09a6…a8f8backed Natus Vincere18c2,605$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed Natus Vincere29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7258657%49 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Natus Vincere30c2,434$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.33545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere21c2,396$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.471,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Vitality70c2,323$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.0242638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Vitality70c2,296$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.8621042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere15c2,174$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.863,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere20c2,165$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.745,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed Vitality71c2,113$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.682944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5264…8352backed Vitality71c2,097$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.221070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0185…0bd3backed Natus Vincere17c2,053$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Vitality72c2,010$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.7221251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72f4…ea5dbacked Natus Vincere10c2,008$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.391233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Vitality71c2,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Vitality70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9975450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere19c1,877$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.8926351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x414f…29a2backed Natus Vincere21c1,868$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3892458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cbc…a37bbacked Vitality71c1,760$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.315468.5%37 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Natus Vincere29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Natus Vincere31c1,694$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.5629855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Vitality70c1,675$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Natus Vincere30c1,649$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005438.9%21 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Natus Vincere12c1,631$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.032330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d11…c34dbacked Natus Vincere22c1,550$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.31376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Vitality71c1,549$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.310951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9923932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Vitality70c1,430$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4294344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Vitality70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5710043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Natus Vincere28c1,420$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.620855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Natus Vincere29c1,420$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.7911353.1%60 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Vitality71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4525261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Vitality71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4527452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.