CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa98ca66009447533dc894c7aeda98655ddf7b1063fb14435bbd0a931d6071c45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Natus Vincere, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 18,877$7,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,893.31 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 16,582$6,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,218.43 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Vitality | 60c | 13,454$8,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,381.67 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…41bebacked Vitality | 57c | 10,480$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Vitality | 50c | 9,370$4,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.78 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 7,651$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.64 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 6,262$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.51 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Vitality | 58c | 6,262$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.95 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 5,748$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.56 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Vitality | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 4,901$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.55 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed Vitality | 65c | 4,012$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Vitality | 79c | 3,623$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vitality | 52c | 3,583$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.83 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 3,322$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.14 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Vitality | 44c | 3,186$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.15 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Vitality | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,975$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.55 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Vitality | 67c | 2,824$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.6 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,250$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.96 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,199$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.6 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,007$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.8 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vitality | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…cb3cbacked Vitality | 43c | 1,926$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,811$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.48 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,514$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.65 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Vitality | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,494$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.31 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,335$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.88 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…d1debacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,327$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Vitality | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.74 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Vitality | 61c | 1,142$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…1665backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,100$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked Vitality | 72c | 1,096$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.45 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Vitality | 67c | 1,062$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.31 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Vitality | 55c | 1,047$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.79 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Vitality | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2f…09fcbacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 951.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Vitality | 51c | 899.99$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Vitality | 42c | 869.83$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.67 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Vitality | 70c | 831.45$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Vitality | 74c | 820$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Vitality | 54c | 809.89$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.13 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 728.15$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.33 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked Vitality | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Vitality | 38c | 709.13$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.49 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 706.43$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.83 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Vitality | 75c | 675.65$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…3418backed Vitality | 71c | 659.5$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ad…4bc9backed Vitality | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Vitality | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Vitality | 60c | 500.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.04 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd9…46d5backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 497.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Vitality | 69c | 492.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Vitality | 41c | 482$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Vitality | 61c | 459.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked Vitality | 56c | 448.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.07 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…90cfbacked Vitality | 69c | 438.91$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…f10bbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 415.46$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 406.67$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…5ed6backed Vitality | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed Vitality | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…ea5dbacked Vitality | 56c | 394.45$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Vitality | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 360$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 358.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 333$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 325$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 318.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf14e…239ebacked Vitality | 75c | 307.87$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 303.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Vitality | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4532…e2a7backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 295$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Vitality | 48c | 279.4$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 276.09$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…5873backed Vitality | 53c | 265.21$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Vitality | 57c | 263.04$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 262.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5363…1987backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 242.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Vitality | 75c | 237.33$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Vitality | 35c | 233.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.72 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Vitality | 48c | 229.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Vitality | 64c | 214.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Vitality | 65c | 210.77$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…4918backed Vitality | 60c | 200.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Vitality | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed Vitality | 43c | 186.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b17…2aa5backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 186.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b82…9c30backed Vitality | 55c | 182.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…51b1backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 177.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.