CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55ed43631e69a8a864ee1b52025224cc66170a6e82964f33257e33d025cb5643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 53c | 9,472$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.02 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 59c | 5,700$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.9 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Over | 40c | 4,733$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 826.82$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.05 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 39c | 307.88$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Under | 54c | 285.03$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…972bbacked Over | 47c | 213.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 45c | 201.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 53c | 197.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Under | 55c | 184.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Under | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…9c03backed Over | 36c | 95.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…4392backed Under | 61c | 82.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 43c | 56.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 46c | 43.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…8a67backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Under | 57c | 35.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 57c | 35.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Under | 42c | 33.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…90dcbacked Over | 48c | 31.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 27.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Over | 63c | 23.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…da38backed Over | 56c | 20.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…66afbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa4…9f20backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 60c | 19.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.