CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d9f8a4484069ca5fbbcf8ffdd14e7364c6ed3fcb85b304c8249a5663a9936f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Natus Vincere, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 20,176$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.04 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 9,423$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.06 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vitality | 70c | 5,824$4,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.46 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf45e…6460backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Vitality | 73c | 5,000$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.64 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…fefbbacked Vitality | 66c | 4,985$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 4,418$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.69 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Vitality | 64c | 4,123$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.2 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 3,800$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd9…46d5backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 3,048$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.25 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 2,525$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.28 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Vitality | 53c | 2,371$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.89 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Vitality | 62c | 1,943$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.68 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…42d5backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,902$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,837$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Vitality | 72c | 1,247$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.26 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…0d50backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,200$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…cb3cbacked Vitality | 70c | 1,100$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x636d…6468backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 1,100$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d9…b126backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 1,013$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 999.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 948.36$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.97 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Vitality | 60c | 699.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 625.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 616.4$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 526.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 500$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…14e9backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 500$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 462.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Vitality | 68c | 443.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Vitality | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…90cfbacked Vitality | 78c | 336.5$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked Vitality | 70c | 325$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 319.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Vitality | 80c | 314.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…822bbacked Vitality | 65c | 308.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…c30ebacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Vitality | 71c | 291.55$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…6a11backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 263.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 260$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Vitality | 68c | 252.76$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9979…7d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 240.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 230$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Vitality | 69c | 217.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vitality | 70c | 216.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…f543backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2f…09fcbacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Vitality | 70c | 195.41$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Vitality | 58c | 191.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…973ebacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 186$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Vitality | 58c | 179.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…d8cdbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Vitality | 77c | 162.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Vitality | 62c | 162.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6074…deadbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 153.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Vitality | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…20a5backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 133.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 124$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 116.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 108.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…f042backed Vitality | 68c | 107.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bf…ebbcbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Vitality | 60c | 103.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5363…1987backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 102$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 100.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Vitality | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…b717backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 98.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Vitality | 68c | 97.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 87.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Vitality | 58c | 86.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Vitality | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…ada0backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…35bbbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 79.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Vitality | 69c | 79.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Vitality | 65c | 76.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked Vitality | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 153 | 60.1%92 W · 61 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Vitality | 60c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Vitality | 79c | 64.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…d479backed Vitality | 80c | 62.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 59.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b21dbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 58.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Vitality | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…b71ebacked Vitality | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…8fd2backed Vitality | 63c | 49.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffa…88e3backed Vitality | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae9…367abacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…50d3backed Vitality | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vitality | 71c | 35.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Vitality | 76c | 33.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.