Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56536276263f702828c6457027f0f8b7fdbf943089fff3cb5629b0201c3ae550
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 55c | 14,800$8,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,139.75 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 4,544$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.2 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.12 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 2,233$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.32 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 71c | 2,226$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.76 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 2,123$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 41c | 1,912$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.39 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…a9babacked No | 56c | 1,802$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…a992backed Yes | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…7640backed Yes | 68c | 1,023$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed No | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 46c | 780$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 34c | 625$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.15 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 28c | 603.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.27 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked No | 32c | 410$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…9043backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 32c | 200.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 73c | 125.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 41c | 120.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 78c | 116$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 99.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 39c | 99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 33c | 98.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 38c | 83.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 40c | 77.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 65c | 61.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 56.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 44c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 69c | 50.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c42…e5a5backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 56c | 48.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 78c | 35.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…cbf2backed Yes | 47c | 22.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 63c | 17.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will NAC Breda win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.